Jonathan Taylor, Pat Freiermuth Have Most Popular Player Prop Bets for Steelers vs. Colts on MNF
Photo by Michael Owens/Getty Images. Pictured: Jonathan Taylor.
Our director of predictive analytics, Sean Koerner, loves Freiermuth's prop tonight — a rare instance when the public and experts are aligned on a pick, especially for such a specific line during a primetime game.
And one of our premier data analytic gurus, Nick Giffen, assessed the value on Taylor's No. 1 and No. 2 most popular prop bets for Monday Night Football's Steelers vs. Colts.
View more NFL player prop projections, lines and odds here!
Steelers vs. Colts Most Popular NFL Player Prop Bets
- Jonathan Taylor to score the first TD (+400)
- Jonathan Taylor to score an anytime touchdown (-160)
- Pat Freiermuth over 47.5 receiving yards (-110)
*Odds and data are according to BetMGM as of Monday afternoon.
For Taylor's first TD prop, the fair value line is exactly +400. So, you're not getting any betting edge there, but if you're bullish on Taylor to score first, that's a fair price.
The fair value for Taylor to score at anytime is -150, so MGM's price at -160 has no value.
It's Freiermuth's over on receiving yards that has the most bang for its buck. The line has ballooned from 44.5 to 47.5 over a few hours on Monday. Koerner wrote earlier today that he expects his median to be closer to 52.5 yards tonight.
Read about his rationale in the story linked above.