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Chiefs-Browns Betting Preview: Sharps Make Their Choice Clear

Nov 04, 2018 8:40 AM EST

USA Today Sports. Pictured: Patrick Mahomes, Baker Mayfield

Betting odds: Kansas City Chiefs at Cleveland Browns

  • Spread: Chiefs -9.5
  • Over/Under: 51.5
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: CBS

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets

Betting market: Talk about lopsided. At the time of writing (Thursday evening), the Chiefs are still receiving 86% of spread bets. Eighty-six percent! (Check out live betting percentages here.)

Regardless, Cleveland is certainly the sharper side, as three reverse line moves have been triggered on the Browns.

It should go without saying that when bets are split nearly 90/10 but the line hasn’t moved, the minority is a sharp group. —Mark Gallant

Weather report: Winds are projected to be blowing at 13 mph to go along with overcast skies and temps in the 50s. Certainly a fall day in Cleveland.

Perhaps as a result of the windy forecast, more than 60% of over/under dollars are on the under, which has moved from 53 to 51.5. — Gallant

Trends to know: At the time of writing, Chiefs-Browns is the most bet game on the board — and also the most lopsided, as Mark discussed above.

Here’s something to keep in mind as Sunday approaches: Since 2003, teams receiving 20% or fewer of bets have gone 114-91-9 (56%) against the spread, per our Bet Labs data. And in games played Week 9 or later, these teams are 46-31-5 (60%) ATS.

Be sure to check updated betting percentages on our live odds page. — John Ewing



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