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Saints vs Giants Prediction, Pick, Odds for NFL Week 6

Saints vs Giants Prediction, Pick, Odds for NFL Week 6 article feature image
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Reuters Connect/Imagn. Pictured: Tyler Shough, Malik Nabers.

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The New Orleans Saints (1-4) take on the  New York Giants (3-1-1) NFL Week 6 today. Kickoff is set for 1:00 p.m. ET from MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, N.J. The game will broadcast live on FOX.

The Saints are 1.5-point favorites over the Giants on the spread, with the over/under set at 45.5 total points. New Orleans is a -115 moneyline favorite while New York is a -105 underdog to pull off the upset.

Let's get into my Saints vs Giants predictions for today's Week 6 game.


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My Saints vs Giants Prediction

My Saints vs. Giants best bet is New Orleans to cover the spread (-1.5), with the best price currently available at FanDuel. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NFL odds page.

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Saints vs Giants Odds

Saints Logo
Sunday, Oct. 18
1 p.m. ET
FOX
Giants Logo
Saints Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+100
45.5
-110o / -110u
-115
Giants Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-120
45.5
-110o / -110u
-105
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.
FanDuel Logo
  • Saints vs Giants spread: Saints -1.5, Giants +1.5
  • Saints vs Giants total: over/under 45.5
  • Saints vs Giants moneyline: Saints -115, Giants -105

Saints vs Giants NFL Week 6 Preview

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New Orleans Saints Betting Preview: The Buy-Low Spot

The Saints originally opened as underdogs for this game, but almost immediately swung to 1.5-point road favorites — and I think they are sitting at the absolute bottom of their market value.

Am I thrilled to back New Orleans on the road here? Not exactly. But I am itching to fade the Giants.

Sure, the Saints' run defense is abysmal, but they are facing a Giants team entirely incapable of exploiting it.

New Orleans has played a grueling schedule the last two weeks, facing the Falcons (who ran wild with Bijan Robinson) and the Vikings (who have one of the best defenses in the NFL).

Offensively, Tyler Shough has been very good when kept clean in the pocket. With the Giants missing Brian Burns, Shough should have all day to operate and consistently move the ball through the air in this game.


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New York Giants Betting Preview: Fraud Watch

The Giants are a couple games above .500, but they are arguably the most fraudulent team in the NFL.

They could easily be 1-4 right now after lucking out with a tie against the Commanders last week. New York's back-to-back home wins came against the Titans and Cardinals — two incompetent teams that turned the ball over at the goal line with a chance to win.

Offensively, the Giants have completely stalled since losing Jaxson Dart. They rank 29th in both rush success rate and rush EPA, meaning their ground game has almost totally vanished.

Jameis Winston has thrown for 694 yards with a 6:3 TD:INT ratio in the three games he's started. He's done a good job of feeding Malik Nabers as the Giants' WR1 has surpassed 100 receiving yards in each of the last two weeks.

Of course, the thing with Winston is that he's prone to making critical mistakes when throwing into zone coverage.


Saints vs Giants Prediction, Betting Analysis

There is a massive strength-of-schedule disparity here, with the Giants feasting on the easiest schedule in the league so far while the Saints have been heavily battle tested against some of the NFL's best.

Without Jaxson Dart's mobility, the Giants simply haven't bee able to run the ball with Cam Skattebo, forcing Jameis Winston into high-variance, mistake-prone dropbacks.

The Saints should be able to keep the pocket clean for Tyler Shough throughout this game, which will likely allow him to dissect the Giants' defense and lift his team to a road win.

Pick: Saints -1.5 (+100)


Giants vs Saints Betting Trends


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Author Profile
About the Author

Stuckey is a senior betting analyst at Action Network, focusing on college football, college basketball, and the NFL. He hosts The Action Network Podcast and co-hosts the Big Bets on Campus podcast with Collin Wilson and Brett McMurphy. Stuckey was Action Network’s first content hire in 2017, helping launch their award-winning app, and continues to work closely with their development team. A CFA Charterholder, Stuckey has been betting since 2003 and has a background as a derivatives analyst in the financial industry. He holds an MBA from George Washington University.

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