Chuck Cook-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Houston Texans quarterback Deshaun Watson
- We ran 10,000 simulations of the 2019 NFL season to find the most likely division winners.
- Using our projections, we have highlighted two future bets to place before Week 6 kicks off.
Five weeks into the 2019 NFL season there are four winless teams. Hope looks to be lost for these poor franchises, but the dream of a Super Bowl run is still alive for — most of — the rest of the league.
To reach the Super Bowl each team must first make the playoffs. The surest way to qualify for the postseason is to win a division.
With that in mind, we ran 10,000 simulations of the 2019 NFL season using player and team statistics adjusted for strength of schedule to produce projected playoff and Super Bowl probabilities heading into Week 6.
Odds as of Wednesday at 9 a.m. ET and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).
By comparing our model to the betting odds at PointsBet, we have found two division bets worth making before kickoff of Week 6.