NFL Pick ‘Em Rankings: Week 5 Straight Up & Against the Spread Picks (Sunday, Oct. 11)

Credit:

Todd Olszewski/Getty Images. Pictured: Ravens mascot

  • Sean Koerner, our Director of Predictive Analytics, breaks down his pick'em confidence ratings for Week 5 of the NFL season.
  • Check out his analysis and favorite picks below.

Editor’s note: The Broncos-Patriots game has been officially rescheduled for next week.


With my final round of projections complete, I’ve updated my straight up and against the spread pick ’em rankings for Week 5.

These confidence ratings are based on my NFL Power Ratings, which help power the model projections in our PRO Report. They account for various factors such as travel, injuries and any news that could impact betting odds.

Now let’s run through the final edition of my Week 5 ratings!


Jump to ATS Ratings


NFL Pick ‘Em Rankings

These are for straight-up pick ’em pools.

Rank
Team
Opponent
Win Prob%
1
Ravens
vs. CIN
86%
2
Chiefs
vs. LV
85%
3
Patriots
vs. DEN
78%
T-4
Cardinals
@ NYJ
77%
T-4
Steelers
vs. PHI
77%
T-6
Rams
@ WAS
76%
T-6
Seahawks
vs. MIN
76%
T-8
49ers
vs. MIA
75%
T-8
Saints
vs. LAC
75%
10
Cowboys
vs. NYG
0.74
11
Bills
@ TEN
0.7
12
Texans
vs. JAX
0.68
13
Buccaneers
@ CHI
0.63
14
Falcons
vs. CAR
56%
15
Colts
@ CLE
51%
16
Browns
vs. IND
49%
17
Panthers
@ ATL
44%
18
Bears
vs. TB
37%
19
Jaguars
@ HOU
32%
20
Titans
vs. BUF
30%
21
Giants
@ DAL
26%
T-22
Dolphins
@ SF
25%
T-22
Chargers
@ NO
25%
T-24
Football Team
vs. LAR
24%
T-24
Vikings
@ SEA
24%
T-26
Jets
vs. ARI
23%
T-26
Eagles
@ PIT
23%
28
Broncos
@ NE
22%
29
Raiders
@ KC
15%
30
Bengals
@ BAL
14%

Week 5 NFL Pick ‘Em Rankings

I’ll update the embedded table featuring my ATS confidence ratings throughout the week, but your contest may use different lines, so I’ve also created this downloadable spreadsheet so you can calculate ratings specific to your pool.

Simply add the odds your contest is using into Column D, then the edge and ratings will automatically recalculate.

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