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NFL Player Props for Week 17: Latavius Murray, Alvin Kamara, Brian Robinson

NFL Player Props for Week 17: Latavius Murray, Alvin Kamara, Brian Robinson article feature image
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Jonathan Newton/The Washington Post via Getty Images. Pictured: Brian Robinson.

  • Sean Koerner has made three player-prop picks for the early slate of Week 17.
  • Check out how Koerner is betting three running backs at 1 p.m. ET below.

Follow Sean Koerner in the Action App to get all his betting and player-prop picks. This file will be updated throughout Saturday with all of Koerner’s picks.


NFL Player Props

Click on a pick to skip ahead
Latavius Murray Rushing Yards
1 p.m. ET
Alvin Kamara Receptions
1 p.m. ET
Brian Robinson Jr. Rush Attempts
1 p.m. ET


Pick
 Latavius Murray Under 46.5 Rushing Yards
Best Book
Time
1 p.m. ET

It’s going to be tough for Murray to clear this number in a game that should see the Broncos playing from behind.

In Murray’s own backfield, Chase Edmonds returned to a near 50-50 committee last week, and you have to imagine his role will grow. Marlon Mack will also command carries.

The Broncos will also begin evaluating their roster for 2023 after firing Nathaniel Hackett. That means sixth-round rookie Tyler Badie could also see some reps over the final few weeks.

I’m projecting this for closer to 39.5 for Murray.


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Pick
Alvin Kamara Over 2.5 Receptions
Best Book
Time
1 p.m. ET

Kamara hasn’t cleared this in his last three games, which makes this a good time to buy low.

After bizarre Week 15 usage that saw David Johnson run more routes than Kamara, the Saints’ RB1 bounced back with a 73% routes run rate in Week 16. Andy Dalton only attempted 15 passes in that game because of inclement weather, but Kamara likely clears this total in normal conditions.

This should be a pass-heavy game script against an Eagles defense that tends to funnel targets to running backs. I’m projecting Kamara for closer to 3.5 and would bet this to -145.


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Pick
Brian Robinson Jr. Over 17.5 Rush Attempts
Best Book
Time
1 p.m. ET

This is a must-win game for the Commanders, who face a run-funnel Browns defense without Antonio Gibson.

I expect Washington to lean heavily on Robinson here. I’m in line with the rookie’s rushing-yard total, so I’m attacking this market instead.

I’d bet this prop to -140.


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