Koerner: Why Chargers-Ravens Offers Betting Value and More Wild-Card Weekend Thoughts

Jan 06, 2019 8:55 AM EST
Credit:

Mitch Stringer, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens

Each week, I release an updated version of The Action Network’s NFL Power Rankings. These ratings mirror those used by Vegas oddsmakers and project NFL point spreads each week.

Below I’ve listed each matchup with the actual consensus spread (via The Action Network App) and compared them to our numbers and added a few thoughts on each matchup.

Los Angeles Chargers at Baltimore Ravens

  • Actual spread: Ravens -2.5
  • The Action Network spread: Ravens -1.5

This is the game with the most value in my mind and I actually disagree slightly with my number. Let me explain.

The Chargers are the better team on paper, but the Ravens pose a bit of a mismatch for them. The Chargers defense is set up to slow down an efficient passing offense — like the Patriots or Chiefs — not a dynamic rushing attack, like Baltimore’s.

The Ravens are by far the most run-heavy team in the league with Lamar Jackson under center, making this a very tough test on the road for the Bolts.

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