The Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots will square of in Super Bowl LX on Sunday, February 8. Kickoff from Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, California is set for 6:30 p.m. ET on NBC.
Our staff of betting experts has locked in four NFL predictions for Super Bowl Sunday.
Let's dive into our expert NFL picks and best bets for Super Bowl LX.
NFL Predictions & Picks — Super Bowl LX
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 6:30 p.m. | |
| 6:30 p.m. | |
| 6:30 p.m. | |
| 6:30 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Seahawks vs Patriots Spread Prediction
I'm leaning on the recent history of underdogs in the Super Bowl. Shout out to Evan Abrams for the research here.
Over the past 30 Super Bowls, there have been 16 underdogs of 4.5 points or more. The underdogs have covered 75% of the time in those situations, including in seven consecutive instances.
Seattle crept by a banged-up 49ers team in Week 18 to earn the No. 1 seed.
The Seahawks were then gifted the chance to play them again after the Eagles couldn't take care of business.
Beating the Rams is a good win, but the Rams were a 4th-down end-zone completion away from leading in the final five minutes.
New England hasn't excelled in the postseason, but they also haven't had a normal weather game.
It'll be nice to see this Patriots' offense in the California sunshine.
Pick: Patriots +4.5 (-105)
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Seahawks vs Patriots Over/Under Pick
The Patriots and Seahawks both play slow, with the Seahawks averaging 63.6 offensive snaps per game and the Patriots averaging 65.4 offensive snaps per game.
These two teams also have shockingly low pass rates, with the Patriots throwing on 58.7% of plays and the Seahawks passing on an even lower 52.6% of plays.
The Seahawks' path to success has been on the defensive side of the ball. This makes sense given that they rank 1st in rush EPA/play allowed and 5th in dropback EPA/play allowed.
Neither team is extremely efficient in the red zone, and neither team is strong on 3rd downs.
We should be in for a low-scoring affair in Sunday's big game.
Pick: Under 45.5 (-110)
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Seahawks vs Patriots ATS Best Bet
I will preface this by saying that I am a Seahawks fan…but the Seahawks are the far superior team here.
The Patriots are slightly better on the offensive side on paper, but looking at the second half of the season and the playoffs, the Seahawks have been the better offense.
The Seahawks were the best defense in the league this season and have a massive edge against the Pats in that department.
On special teams, the Seahawks have another massive advantage, as they ranked top-2 while the Pats were below-average.
The Seahawks have covered this number in 10 of the last 14 games, and three of the games they didn't cover were against the Rams.
Drake Maye has struggled against elite defenses this season (which includes having terrible games against the 2nd-best and 3rd-best defenses in these last two games).
Pick: Sehawks -4.5 (-115)
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Seahawks vs Patriots Total Prediction
By Charlie Wright
The under pairs well with my New England bets.
A slow, methodical game would play into New England's favor.
Seattle and New England both ranked in the bottom-5 in terms of seconds per play in the regular season. Only Baltimore, Miami, and Buffalo played at a slower pace.
The 1st quarter of the Super Bowl is normally played tentatively, so these two teams could be even more conservative than usual.
And yes, I’m going to be the guy sweating a 1st-quarter under while everyone is locked in on appetizers and commercials.
Pick: First Quarter Under 7.5 (-115)
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