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NFL Prop Bets & Picks: Jerry Jeudy, Michael Pittman, More Week 9 Player Props

NFL Prop Bets & Picks: Jerry Jeudy, Michael Pittman, More Week 9 Player Props article feature image

Matthew Stockman/Getty Images. Pictured: Jerry Jeudy

Sean Koerner, our Director of Predictive Analytics, is highlighting his favorite prop(s) for every slate throughout the 2020 season — he’s 66-42 (61.1%) so far and has a 273-191-5 (58.8%) all-time record on NFL bets he’s tracked in the Action app. Find his 10 (!) prop bets for Sunday’s main Week 9 slate below.

NFL Prop Bets & Picks

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Broncos at Falcons Props

Jerry Jeudy Over 47.5 Rec Yards (-115)

Drew Lock came to life in the second half of last week’s thrilling 31-30 comeback win over the Chargers. I think he takes that confidence into their Week 9 matchup, which could mean a big game from Jeudy. The Falcons defense has allowed ten different WRs to clear 80+ yards through eight games this season. Jeudy carries an average depth of target of 13.7 yards, with 5.2 yards after catch rate. It’s a combo that gives him a high weekly floor in terms of yardage, and I like this prop up to 51.5.

Bet to 51.5 at BetMGM
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Bears at Titans Props

Ryan Tannehill Over 9.5 Rush Yards (-109)

Ryan Tannehill struggled against the Bengals last week, going 2-for-8 with 20 passing yards while under pressure with an interception and one sack. He had the lowest QB Rating under pressure last week (0.0), and it could be a result of missing stud OL Taylor Lewan, who is out for season. I could see him choosing to use his legs a bit more this week once he feels pressure, and it’s why this prop seems a bit too low. I would bet it up to 11.5.

Bet to 11.5 at DraftKings

Kalif Raymond Over 22.5 Rec Yards (-110)

Raymond will get a boost in playing time with Adam Humphries out. The Titans lean on Derrick Henry a ton, which allows them to set up play action. It allows a player like Raymond, the team’s top deep threat, to get scripted deep targets. He could clear this number with a single catch, which is why I like the over. I would bet it up to 25.5.

Bet to 25.5 at DraftKings

Lions at Vikings Props

Adam Thielen Over 4.5 Receptions (-139)

We can overlook Thielen’s 3/27/0 box score last week, considering Kirk Cousins only attempted 14 passes — the result of high winds and Dalvin Cook being the Vikings’ entire offense in their 28-22 win. The Vikings should have a much more pass-friendly game plan this week, and I have Thielen projected for 5.6 receptions. I would bet this up to -155.

Bet to -155 at BetMGM

Ravens at Colts Props

Michael Pittman Over 30.5 Rec Yards (-110) 

Pittman returned from the IR last week with a quiet 1/6/0 box score. He ran a route on 56% of dropbacks. However, with T.Y. Hilton expected to miss Sunday’s game, I’m projecting his routes run to shoot up into the 75-80% range. With stud CB Marlon Humphrey out and CB Jimmy Smith questionable, this matchup is a bit less imposing. I’m projecting Pittman for 43 yards and would bet this up to 36.5.

Bet to 36.5 at FanDuel

Panthers at Chiefs Props

Mecole Hardman Over 36.5 Rec Yards (-112)

Mecole Hardman saw his routes run per dropback jump up from 38% (his average from the previous two games) up to 66% last week. He turned the increase in playing time into a massive 7/96/1 receiving line. I expect him to see similar playing time with Sammy Watkins out again and have him projected for 45 yards. I would bet it up to 40.5.

Bet to 40.5 at DraftKings

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