NFL Week 2 Sharp Report: How Pros Are Betting Chiefs-Raiders & Saints-Rams
Kirby Lee, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Jon Gruden.
- Using The Action Network's betting tools, we've found out how bettors have played Chargers-Lions, Cardinals-Ravens, Chiefs-Raiders and Saints-Rams.
Week 1 may be the first week of the season (uhh, ya think?), but Week 2 is the first normal week of the season from a betting perspective.
NFL lines are only up for seven days as opposed to the five months they were available for Week 1. No time to dilly-dally from here on out.
The condensed amount of time certainly hasn’t led to a shortage of action, though. We’ve had some big line moves and lines moving off of key numbers. Let’s take a look at what’s responsible.
All odds and percentages as of 8 p.m. ET Friday. Odds via PointsBet, where Action Network users can exclusively bet every NFL spread this season at reduced juice (-105)..
Los Angeles Chargers @ Detroit Lions
1 p.m. ET | CBS
Both the Chargers and Lions are coming off of fourth quarter collapses that led to overtime — the Lions, of course, blew a bigger lead that led to a tie in Arizona.
Though both teams showed some flaws in Week 1, bettors still remember how the Chargers won twice as many games as the Lions did last year. Nearly 75% of tickets are on L.A.
Wiseguys, however, aren’t taking the bait. The Bolts are just a small favorite — likely the reason public bettors are attracted to them — but the pros prefer the home dog.
We’ve tracked ten bet signals (strong indicators of sharp action) on the Lions and none on the Chargers. As a result, Detroit has moved from the key number of +3 down to +1.5 despite the lack of public support.
Sharp Angle: Lions (moved from +3 to +1.5)
Arizona Cardinals @ Baltimore Ravens
1 p.m. ET | FOX
Earlier in the week, I wrote a story about how the over in this game was getting absolutely bombarded. During the early stages of the week, more than 90% of bets and dollars on the over caused the line to skyrocket from 42.5 to 47 — even 48 at a couple of books. The line graph looked like the darn Beyond Meat stock chart.
‘Twas at this point that the pros felt buyback was in order, though. Since reaching its peak, we’ve tracked four consecutive bet signals on the under.
This sharp buyback has dropped the line back down to 46. It’s still nowhere near the opener, but this bad boy had to fall a little at some point after that initial line movement.
Sharp Angle: Under (fell from 47 to 46)
Kansas City Chiefs @ Oakland Raiders
4:05 p.m. ET | CBS
Can the Raiders pull off two straight wins without Antonio Brown? Probably not, but sharp bettors think they can at least keep things close against Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs.
After opening at +8, big bettors have been grabbing Oakland plus the hook wherever they can. In fact, there’s even been continued support on them at +7 that has dropped the line to +6.5 at a couple shops.
Similar to the Chargers-Lions game, all the bets are coming in on last year’s hot team, as Kansas City is getting 70% of the tickets. It’s the Raiders, however that are getting 60% of the loot.
Sharp Angle: Raiders (moved from +8 to +7)
New Orleans Saints @ Los Angeles Rams
4:25 p.m. ET | FOX
One of the week’s best games on the slate is expected to be Saints-Rams. Last year’s regular season game in New Orleans resulted in an 80 point barn-burner, while the NFC Championship game was a joyous game to watch for all parties involved.
With last year’s squads both capable of putting up lopsided numbers, the over/unders for their two games against each other were 57.5 (opened at 60) and 55 (opened at 56).
This year, oddsmakers set the opening bar at 54, but as we saw in both games last year, the line is dropping.
Fifty-six percent of bets are on the over, but it’s 57% of the money that’s on the under. There are also just a mere two bet signals on this game overall, but both are on the under. These factors have helped the total fall two points.
Sharp Angle: Under (moved from 54 to 52)