Packers vs. Ravens Betting Guide: Ride John Harbaugh’s Preseason-Best ATS Record?

Packers vs. Ravens Betting Guide: Ride John Harbaugh’s Preseason-Best ATS Record? article feature image
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Credit: Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Baltimore Ravens head coach John Harbaugh with defensive back Justin Bethel (28).

Green Bay Packers at Baltimore Ravens Betting Odds

  • Spread: Ravens -4
  • Over/Under: 37
  • Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET

The Ravens host the Packers in one of five NFL Preseason Week 2 matchups on Thursday night. Let’s take a look at key storylines for both teams, complete with betting and daily fantasy analysis.

Green Bay Packers

The Packers are expected to have Aaron Rodgers and Co. on the field for roughly one quarter. It’s unclear if this will include presumed starting running back Aaron Jones, who just recently returned to practice after missing time with a hamstring injury.

Jones has certainly earned the right to get fed the ball: His average of 5.5 yards per carry since entering the league in 2017 is the highest mark among all backs with at least 100 rush attempts.

Jones’ 55.6% rushing success rate trails only Todd Gurley (55.7%) and Alvin Kamara (58%) over the past two seasons (per NFL.com’s Graham Barfield).

FREE AARON JONES pic.twitter.com/Qk6sEhoU6f

— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) June 24, 2019

The concern is whether new head coach Matt LaFleur will continue to utilize committee backfields like he did in Tennessee last season with Derrick Henry and Dion Lewis. Monitoring Jones’ snaps with the first-team offense, as well as the health of Jamaal Williams (hamstring), will be of the most importance Thursday night and beyond.

Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens are expected to again play Lamar Jackson for roughly three series of work before handing things off to Trace McSorley and Joe Callahan.

The more intriguing question ahead of this matchup is whether we’ll see Mark Ingram make his debut in purple.

The long-time Saints running back is a perfect fit in the Ravens’ run-heavy attack and could feasibly reach new heights thanks to the pressure that Jackson’s rushing ability puts on opposing defenses.

Gus Edwards averaged 17.4 carries per game in seven regular season starts alongside Lamar Jackson.

Mark Ingram (PPR RB23 ADP) rush attempts per game last five seasons …

2018: 11.5 (RB28 in PPR per game)
2017: 14.4 (RB8)
2016: 12.8 (RB10)
2015: 13.8 (RB6)
2014: 17.4 (RB11)

— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) August 13, 2019

Ingram is undoubtedly the Ravens’ best running back when it comes to pass protection. He’s also not the easiest running back to get to the ground once he works up a head of steam.

Long-time Ravens head coach John Harbaugh is a league-best 30-15-1 against the spread for his career. I believe this is due to the Ravens consistently stockpiling talent throughout their depth chart, particularly on the defensive side of the ball.

I expect them to again boast this advantage against the Packers.

Lean: Ravens -4

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