Patriots vs Cardinals Player Prop: Expert Monday Night Football Bet on Nelson Agholor
David Berding/Getty Images. Pictured: Nelson Agholor.
Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards
|Prop||Nelson Agholor Over 29.5 Receiving Yards|
|Matchup||Patriots vs. Cardinals|
|Day, Time||Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET|
Jakobi Meyers has been ruled out due to a concussion. Agholor has typically replaced Meyers when he’s been out of the lineup.
There have been three games this season where Meyers has either missed it entirely or played fewer than 30% of snaps, in Weeks 3, 4 and 12. Agholor cleared this total all three times, with 41, 46 and 65 receiving yards.
This is also a plus matchup for Agholor. The Cardinals will be without slot cornerback Byron Murphy, so we’ll likely see Isaiah Simmons and Antonio Hamilton handle that role tonight. Both players have allowed an 89% catch rate in the slot this season.
The Cardinals have used zone coverage at the fifth-highest rate in the NFL this season. Since joining the Patriots, Agholor has averaged 1.37 yards per route run against zone compared to 1.19 against man.
All signs point to Agholor having a potentially busy night as Meyers’ replacement. I’m projecting his median for closer to 37.5 receiving yards and love his upside tonight.