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NHL Betting Preview: Two Underdogs Provide Value on Opening Night

Oct 03, 2018 12:49 PM EDT

Betting odds: Montreal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Canadiens Moneyline: +200
  • Maple Leafs Moneyline: -240
  • Over/Under: 6 (-120/-101)
  • Time: 7:05 p.m. ET

>> All odds as of 12 a.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NHL odds and track your bets


The Air Canada Center will be rocking tonight as the Toronto Maple Leafs host their longtime rivals, the Montreal Canadiens. For the first time in a long time, expectations are quite high in Toronto and they are quite low in Montreal.

There’s no getting around that Toronto is clearly the better team in this one and wins this game more often than not. Even without William Nylander (contract holdout), the Leafs’ top six is fantastic and should own the puck.

Montreal’s best chance in this game is relying on goaltender Carey Price. The Habs should also see some success against Toronto’s subpar defense — especially on the right side.

At this number, the odds imply that the Maple Leafs have a 67.4% chance (when adjusting for the vig) of winning on Wednesday night. The Leafs’ price is probably a little inflated by public perception (home opener, big debut, etc.) and I think the value is on Montreal as a 2-1 underdog on opening night. It’s a bet you lose more often than you win, but that doesn’t mean it’s the wrong one to make. Let’s just hope Price is on his game.

The Canadiens are +205 at some shops (Bovada, Pinnacle, BetOnline), so make sure to look around for the best number. Even so, I like this bet at +190 or longer.

Bet: Montreal +200

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Credit:

Stan Szeto, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Erik Karlsson

Follow Michael J. Leboff on Twitter
@TheBigLeebowski
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