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Premier League Week 7 Betting: Will Draws Continue to Thrive?

Sep 28, 2018 3:34 PM EDT
Credit:

Reuters photo. Pictured: Tottenham goalie Hugo Lloris makes a save against Brighton in 2017

  • Premier League Week 7 is highlighted by a marquee matchup between Liverpool and Chelsea on Saturday at 12:30 p.m. ET (NBC).
  • Draws finally made a comeback in Week 6, going 4-6 for +5.31 units, and it looks like that trend could continue into this weekend.
  • After analyzing the betting market for every match, I've picked out three value plays to make including Tottenham-Huddersfield.

Big underdogs still haven’t barked in the Premier League this season as teams closing +500 or higher have gone 0-32. That means if you’ve been betting $100 on every sizable dog this season, you’re down $3,200 so far. That’s a terrible strategy anyways, but it just proves how favorites have cleaned up this year.

Here’s a look at updated season trends along with a preview and picks for Week 7.

2018-19 Season Trends

Draws are finally making a comeback after going 4-6 for + 5.31 units in Week 6. Will we see more of that in Week 7?

By analyzing the betting market and historical data, I’ve picked out three value plays to make for this weekend.

2018-19 Season Record: 7-15-1 (-3.57 units)


Tottenham at Huddersfield (Saturday, 10 a.m. ET, CNBC)

  • Tottenham Odds: -204
  • Huddersfield Odds: +686
  • Draw Odds: +344
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (o-115)

Huddersfield are stuck at the bottom of the Premier League table with just two points and a -11 goal differential, and things just keep getting tougher on Saturday when Spurs come to town.

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Follow Dan McGuire on Twitter
@ArsenalDMC

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