David De Gea, Manchester United’s star goalkeeper, is the most important player in any match he takes the field.

That will certainly be true Sunday when United hosts Chelsea at Old Trafford. On the surface, the two historic teams seem largely similar. United is second in the Premier League table with 56 points, and Chelsea sits fourth with 53.

They both seem to be defense-first squads that sacrifice adventurous attacking in order to make themselves impenetrable. They’re first and third in the league in goals conceded with 19 and 23, respectively, while only fourth and sixth in attack with 51 and 49 goals scored.

But a slightly deeper look shows two vastly different teams and a potential edge for those betting Sunday’s match: Chelsea (+250) at Manchester United (+129).

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