Premier League Props Bets: Finding Value in Arsenal, Liverpool
Thomas Rodenbücher (via Creative Commons) / Kelley L Cox (USA TODAY Sports)
Both Arsenal and Liverpool have built their recent successes on superb home form, but both have also dropped crucial points on the road in recent weeks.
Tuesday night’s EPL games offer some interesting possibilities, with both sides set for action in a three-game lineup.
Here’s my pick of the props for Tuesday night’s EPL action.
Swansea vs. Arsenal
2:45 p.m. ET
Can Swansea do it again? The Welsh side is in last place in the Premier League, but they’ve picked up two priceless wins and a draw in their last four outings, gathering seven points out of a possible 12. It means they’re in the hunt for Premier League survival.
And they’ll host Arsenal at the Liberty Stadium with a spring in their step, having beaten Liverpool 1-0 at home last Monday night.
Arsenal, meanwhile, suffered a 2-1 loss at Bournemouth on their last road trip, but rebounded with a resounding 4-1 home win against Crystal Palace.
Having just been stung by Bournemouth, Arsenal should turn things around with a more more disciplined performance against the Swans.
The Gunners have won their last three against Swansea, and they should be sufficiently refocused following that Bournemouth defeat to ensure a repeat doesn’t happen here.
Swansea hasn’t conceded more than one goal in a game since Jan. 2, and they’re playing better defensively than earlier in the season, when they were routinely giving up two goals a game.
I’m expecting a tight game, so backing under 2.5 goals looks a solid pick at +110 (William Hill).
West Ham vs. Crystal Palace
2:45 p.m. ET
One look at the form guide for this one will make you throw up your hands in despair. West Ham is alternating wins and losses, while Palace’s play has been all over the place. So how do we pluck some value from this one?
West Ham has scored in each of their last four home games, while Palace has netted in their last four EPL games, home or away.
The bet here is for both teams to find the net, though the overall result looks harder to pick than a broken nose. (For what it’s worth, I like the 1-1 draw at +550.)
Both sides are in scoring form, and both teams’ defenses are far from impenetrable. Take both teams to score at -115 (Bovada).
Huddersfield vs. Liverpool
3:00 p.m. ET
As mentioned earlier, Liverpool’s last EPL appearance — a 1-0 loss at cellar dweller Swansea — wasn’t one that’ll make their end-of-season highlight reel. You can bet Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp has been hammering home the need to avoid a similar slip-up at Huddersfield, whose home record is dead even — four wins, four draws, four losses.
Huddersfield’s form won’t give underdog backers much hope, however. They’ve drawn three and lost three of their last six in the EPL, and with Liverpool fired up and looking to make a statement after their recent slip-up, an away win looks a near certainty.
In terms of value props, the forward pairing of Roberto Firmino and Mo Salah continue to deliver the goods in front of goal. If only a bookmaker offered some sort of special enhanced odds bet on the pair of them scoring…
Mo Salah and Roberto Firmino to both score at +400 (William Hill)