The EPL Midweek Coupon: Challenging matchups for big-name trio?

The EPL Midweek Coupon: Challenging matchups for big-name trio? article feature image

Three of the EPL’s “Big Six” face tricky-looking away games as the Premier League offers a rare midweek matchlist this week. But which side is most likely to slip up?

Manchester United (-160) had to fight right to the end of their home clash with Brighton over the weekend before securing the three points at Old Trafford. Now they travel to Watford (+425), which has turned around its form and heads into the match on a two-game winning streak, the same as the visitors.

Tottenham (-135), meanwhile, has dropped below London rivals Arsenal in the EPL standings, but it could have been even worse; they needed talismanic striker Harry Kane to deliver a late equalizer at home to manager-less West Brom. They’ll be looking to get back to their winning ways at King Power Stadium when they take on Leicester (+385).

Also facing a potentially dangerous road trip this week is Liverpool (-195). Jurgen Klopp’s men drew 1-1 with Chelsea at Anfield over weekend and will be looking to improve their points haul with victory at Stoke City (+475). The old adage, “Can they do it on a wet Wednesday night at Stoke?” will certainly apply here. Victory is a must if the Reds want to stay in the hunt for Champions League qualification this season.

With Arsenal, Chelsea and Manchester City all facing decidedly winnable home games, the pressure is on the aforementioned trio to get the job done on the road. But will they?

Here’s the full match list for this week’s midweek action, along with some preliminary thoughts on where the value may lie among the fixtures.

Tuesday, Nov. 28

Brighton & Hove Albion (+160) Draw (+205) Crystal Palace (+185)
Leicester City (+385) Draw (+280) Tottenham Hotspur (-135)
Watford (+425) Draw (+285) Manchester United (-160)
West Bromwich Albion (+130) Draw (+205) Newcastle United (+235)

Wednesday, Nov. 29

Arsenal (-550) Draw (+575) Huddersfield Town (+1400)
Bournemouth (-105) Draw (+230) Burnley (+310)
Chelsea (-650) Draw (+600) Swansea City (+1600)
Everton (+125) Draw (+220) West Ham United (+220)
Manchester City (-700) Draw (+650) Southampton (+1300)
Stoke City (+475) Draw (+340) Liverpool (-195)

Finding value:

  • After pushing Manchester United all the way at Old Trafford over the weekend, Brighton should have enough in its locker to cash at +160 at home against struggling Palace, which hasn’t kept a clean sheet in the EPL all season.
  • Arsenal (home to Huddersfield), Chelsea (home to Swansea) and Manchester City (home to Southampton) look like strong bets to notch home wins. A three-way parlay pays out at around 1-2.
  • Watford could offer the value bet of the coupon. After back-to-back wins – and clean sheets – in their last two EPL outings, the Hornets provide good value to take something at home against Manchester United, which labored to a 1-0 win at home against Brighton over the weekend. The draw looks particularly tempting at +285.
  • There’s value in each of our three featured “Big Six” teams dropping points on the road. We mentioned Manchester United above, but the draw also offers decent value with Stoke vs. Liverpool (+340) and Leicester vs. Spurs (+280).
  • West Brom (eight EPL games without a win) and Newcastle (lost their last four) meet at The Hawthorns in a battle between the two clubs with the worst form in the EPL. Steer well clear of this one.


On a tear…

Current EPL win streaks
11: Manchester City
2: Manchester United, Arsenal, Watford

In a slump…

Current EPL losing streaks
4: Newcastle United
2: Huddersfield Town

Games without a win
11: West Bromwich Albion
6: West Ham United
5: Swansea City
4: Newcastle United


EPL Top Goalscorers
10: Mohamed Salah (Liverpool)
9: Sergio Aguero (Man City), Harry Kane (Spurs)
8: Gabriel Jesus (Man City), Romelu Lukaku (Man Utd), Alvaro Morata (Chelsea), Raheem Sterling (Man City)
6: Alexandre Lacazette (Arsenal), Leroy Sane (Man City), Jamie Vardy (Leicester)


EPL Top Assists
8: David Silva (Man City)
6: Kevin De Bruyne (Man City), Leroy Sane (Man City)
5: Cesar Azpilicueta (Chelsea), Pascal Gross (Brighton), Henrikh Mkhitaryan (Man Utd), Xherdan Shaqiri (Stoke City)

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