Bayern Munich vs. RB Leipzig Odds, Picks and Predictions for Bundesliga Saturday
Photo by M. Donato/FC Bayern via Getty Images. Pictured: Robert Lewandowski (left).
- Bayern Munich is a huge favorite against RB Leipzig in a matchup between the top two Bundesliga teams.
- Bayern is once again looking like the clear title front runner, but RB Leipzig is in good form and proven to be one of the league's best defensive squads.
- Will that be enough to get a result?
Bayern Munich vs. RB Leipzig Odds
|Bayern Munich Odds||-235 [BET NOW]|
|RB Leipzig Odds||+550 [BET NOW]|
|Draw||+400 [BET NOW]|
|Over/Under||3.5 (-125/+102) [BET NOW]|
|Time||Saturday, 12:30 p.m. ET|
|How To Watch||ESPN+|
The top two teams in the Bundesliga table are set to clash on Saturday in Munich, as Bayern host RB Leipzig. A defeat would put Leipzig four points behind the Bavarian giants, giving the reigning champions of Germany and Europe a huge boost early in the season.
With Bayern likely to take all three points, let’s find the betting value.
In the Champions League on Tuesday, Bayern were able to rest striker Robert Lewandowski, midfielder Leon Goretzka, winger Kingsley Coman and defender Jerome Boateng. They still managed a 1-1 draw away to Atletico Madrid thanks to a late Thomas Muller penalty.
The Bavarians’ attack has not dipped from the incredible form it ended last season in. Lewandowski is scoring left and right, and Muller has been at his best this season. Bayern have scored multiple goals in nine of their 11 Bundesliga games and three goals six times.
The defense, though, has been suspect at times. Hansi Flick’s side has allowed 13 goals in nine games, which is a decent enough average for a mid-table team but not Bayern Munich.
The main injury worries for Bayern are in midfield, where they will be without German star Joshua Kimmich and likely Corentin Tolisso. Goretzka has been a dynamic force since joining from Schalke and will be joined by one of two Spaniards — either the experienced Javi Martinez or Marc Roca, who joined Bayern before the season from Espanyol in Spain.
After back-to-back defeats against Manchester United (5-0) and Borussia Monchengladbach (1-0) in late October, Leipzig is 4-1-1 across all competitions. They’ve won their last two, including a seven-goal thriller on Wednesday away to Istanbul Basaksehir that saw Alexander Soroth score a 92nd-minute winner.
Unlike Bayern, Leipzig have found success this season because of its strong defense in the Bundesliga. They have conceded just six goals through nine games while scoring 18. French duo Ibrahima Konate and Dayot Upamecano, the latter of whom has been linked heavily to a move to Bayern, have created a strong rearguard for Leipzig.
Going forward, there are still questions to be answered about replacing the goals that left with Timo Werner’s move to Chelsea. In league play, left back Angelino is actually Leipzig’s top scorer at four. Striker Yussuf Poulsen is at three, while midfielders Emil Forsberg and Marcel Sabitzer.
There is no shortage of playmakers in the Leipzig team with creative midfielders Christopher Nkunku and Dani Olmo, but it will be those in the box that will determine whether Leipzig is able to keep up with FC Hollywood this season at the top of the Bundesliga table.
Leipzig also has a critical Champions League game next week against Manchester United that they need to win in order to advance to the knockout stages. We’ll see if the starting 11 is shuffled.
While the injury concerns in Bayern’s midfield are worth considering, there’s no reason to believe that they won’t take all three points from this game. At this point, there’s no reason to believe Bayern won’t win any game. Flick’s team is the best in the world right now and the prohibitive favorite to reclaim the Bundesliga crown, as well as the Champions League.
Bayern will dictate the pace of the game and maintain the bulk of possession, which will make it a relatively open affair. Coming off a four-goal performance in Istanbul, Leipzig are in good form in front of goal and are likely to put at least one in.
With that, I like over 3.5 goals at -125 paired with Bayern’s moneyline at -235. That gets you to +138 on DraftKings. Leipzig’s +550 moneyline indicates just how big of an upset this would be and what a statement it would make to the rest of Europe, not just the Bundesliga.
Pick: Parlay Bayern moneyline -235 with over 3.5 goals -125