Bundesliga Betting Preview: Borussia Monchengladbach vs. Bayern Munich Odds, Picks and Predictions (Saturday, June 13)
KAI PFAFFENBACH/POOL/AFP via Getty Images. Pictured: Robert Lewandowski
- Bayern Munich are -250 favorites over Borussia Monchengladbach in the updated odds for their Bundesliga match on Saturday afternoon.
- Bayern Munich can win the Bundesliga with a win over Monchengladbach, but they are missing several key players including Robert Lewandowski.
Borussia Monchengladbach vs. Bayern Munich Odds and Picks
|Borussia Monchengladbach odds||+575
|Bayern Munich odds||-250
|Time||Saturday, 12:30 p.m. ET|
Bayern Munich are one win away from securing an eighth-consecutive Bundesliga title, and fourth-place Borussia Monchengladbach is the only team standing in the way of the dominant champions as the two sides will meet on Saturday afternoon.
Bayern will be without three of its best attackers, two due to suspension and one to injury.
Striker Robert Lewandowski (30 goals) and hybrid-winger Thomas Muller (7 goals, 20 assists) will miss on Saturday due to accumulating a fifth yellow card in Bayern’s 4-2 win over Bayer Leverkusen. Winger Serge Gnabry also picked up an injury in training and is doubtful to play, while Thiago remains out in the midfield.
Even shorthanded, Bayern have plenty of attacking options. Ivan Perisic, who scored the opening goal in Bayern’s DFB-Pokal semi final win on Wednesday over Frankfurt, Leon Goretzka and Kingsley Coman all bring plenty of attacking ability, just not to the extent Bayern is used to with Muller and Lewandowski.
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In fact, all four of Bayern’s top scorers in the league will not play in Saturday’s match, including at least 50 of the team’s 87 total league goals.
Monchengladbach have struggled away from home in attack of late, and will be without their joint-leading scorer Alassane Pléa. Pléa has 10 goals in 2019-20, but was sent off in a 1-0 defeat to Freiburg last Friday and is suspended for Saturday’s match.
Gladbach have plenty of attacking talent to offset this setback, including through attackers Marcus Thuram (10 goals) and Breel Embolo in the midfield.
Expected goals (also known as xG) is an advanced statistic that gives an indication of whether results are based on sustainable factors like a steady creation of scoring chances, or whether it is down to aspects such as luck or outstanding goalkeeping.
Gladbach have failed to score in each of their last two away matches, a 1-0 defeat to Freiburg and a goalless draw with Werder Bremen. But over the course of the season, The Foals have the fourth-most Bundesliga goals and are third in expected goals.
Last time these two met in December, Gladbach keeper Yann Sommer made a crucial late save and The Foals converted a 92nd minute penalty to upset Bayern, 2-1.
While Bayern is playing its third game in seven days and shorthanded in attack, I’m anticipating a slow start for the team looking to end the Bundesliga title race on Saturday.
Without Lewandowski, Muller and Gnabry, the Gladbach defense should be able to keep Bayern off the board for at least the opening 45 minutes. This season, Gladbach have conceded just 11 first half goals, compared to 25 in the second half.
As impressive as Munich has been in scoring goals and going forward since the Bundesliga returned, its defense has quietly stifled nearly every opponent. While Frankfurt found a few holes and scored a couple goals off set pieces, Bayern has kept a clean sheet in five of its last seven Bundesliga matches.
A sluggish start for Bayern on much less rest should keep this game under 1.5 goals in the first half.