Late game-winning goals have been the theme in MLS recently, and a wild month of action continues on Wednesday night with two pivotal matches:
- Portland Timbers at D.C. United (8 p.m. ET)
- Real Salt Lake at Los Angeles FC (10 p.m. ET)
This season’s value plays keep rolling along, but the New England Revolution did made me look foolish again, losing 3-2 at home after blowing a 2-0 lead against Philadelphia last Saturday. Fortunately, the other two plays were big winners, as the Vancouver Whitecaps (+600) dealt Portland its first home loss of the season, and the Montreal Impact drew (+301) for the third time in four games.
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With just a quarter of the season remaining, each game becomes increasingly important to the playoff race. Although there are just two matches on the slate for Wednesday, I’ve picked out one value play.
Season Record: 44-45-3, +31.66 units, 36% ROI
Portland Timbers at D.C. United
Moneyline odds: D.C. United -103, Portland +268, Draw +298
Total: 3 (o-121)
Time: 8 p.m. ET
D.C. United earned a huge 3-2 home victory over Orlando City on Sunday night to stay in the thick of the playoff race. If you haven’t seen the end of the match, take a quick minute to enjoy some late heroics from Wayne Rooney:
Despite D.C. United being at the bottom of the conference with 20 points, they’ve played three fewer matches than any other team in the East.
Portland’s latest result was a 2-1 home loss to Vancouver on Saturday night, which wiped out both a 15-game unbeaten run and an undefeated home record this season. Nevertheless, the Timbers are still in strong position to make the Western Conference playoffs because they have games in hand on the rest of the pack.
Odds for this match came out late Sunday night and were on the move immediately. Pinnacle opened D.C. United +181, which was bet down to +103 within three hours. Subsequently, Portland’s odds drifted from +145 to +242, and the draw moved from +267 to +320.