Leeds United vs. Wolves Odds & Betting Picks: Bet Both Teams to Score (Monday, Oct. 19)

Leeds United vs. Wolves Odds & Betting Picks: Bet Both Teams to Score (Monday, Oct. 19) article feature image
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Alex Livesey/Pool/AFP via Getty Images. Pictured: Leeds United standout Patrick Bamford.

  • Leeds are a short plus-money favorite over Wolves on Monday afternoon in English Premier League action, with the total at 2.5.
  • Jeremy Pond is betting both teams to score at -148 and taking the over, banking on Leeds pushing the pace against a slightly inferior opponent.
  • Get his full breakdown for Leeds vs. Wolves below.

Leeds vs. Wolves Odds

Leeds Odds +140 [BET NOW]
Wolves Odds +200 [BET NOW]
Draw +235 [BET NOW]
Over/Under 2.5 (-107/-117) [BET NOW]
Time 3 p.m. ET
TV NBCSN

Odds updated as of Monday at 9:30 a.m. ET and via DraftKings. Get up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings today or see more offers and reviews for the best online sportsbooks.


If you were hoping for a touch of excitement to close out the week’s Premier League fixtures, chances are you won’t be disappointed with what’s in store.

Things should heat up Monday in the North of England when Leeds United hosts Wolverhampton, with both clubs hoping to secure all three points in this interesting tussle at Elland Road.

Leeds, which earned promotion from the Championship, has been one of the brightest spots in England’s top flight thus far and sits in ninth place on the league table. Wolves, on the other hand, has had a mixed bag of results and looks to get things in order in this fixture.

That said, let’s take a deeper look at the sides:

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Leeds

When you think of exciting teams in the league, the likes of Liverpool, Manchester City, Chelsea and others come to mind. However, you can throw the newly promoted Peacocks right in that mix.

I wasn’t sure what to expect when Leeds made its return to big stage, but was more than pleasantly surprised at the charisma, desire and skill this side showed in its hard-fought, 4-3 loss against Liverpool on debut.

Leeds might have taken the defeat against the defending league champion, but it gained a ton of respect from Liverpool and put the others on notice that it wouldn’t be toiling at the bottom in a season-long relegation scrap.

The Peacocks earned wins against Fulham and Sheffield United after that setback against the Reds before scratching out a 1-1 draw against Manchester City heading into the FIFA break.

Despite Leeds getting off to what could be described as a dream beginning, the club’s statistical numbers are anything but exceptional.

The Peacocks are pretty much middle of the table when it comes to the data, sitting on a subpar 5.5 expected goals and a very poor 8.2 expected goals against this season. That results in a -2.7 xGDiff and -0.67 xGDiff/90 minutes.

The club’s xGA is fourth worst in the league, sitting just ahead of Newcastle United (8.3 xGA), Manchester United (8.4 xGA) and West Bromwich Albion (9.0 xGA) at the bottom of the ranking.


Expected goals (also known as xG) is an advanced statistic that gives an indication of whether results are based on sustainable factors like a steady creation of scoring chances, or whether it is down to aspects such as luck or outstanding goalkeeping.


Wolves

Wolves has been the definition of inconsistent at the start of its campaign, going 2-2-0 prior to the international break. It closed its first set of matches with a 1-0 shutout win against Fulham.

The club sits in 15th place on the table, so getting any kind of result here on the road will be positive for manager Nuno Espírito Santo and the lads.

Wolves opened its season with a 2-0 shutout win against struggling Sheffield United before enduring back-to-back losses against Manchester City (3-1) and West Ham United (4-0), with the latter really raising some eyebrows among the club and its supporters in central England.

When comparing its numbers against Leeds, Wolves is better in all but one category. Wolves boasts 3.8 expected goals and 4.9 expected goals against, resulting in a -1.1 xGDiff and -0.25 xGDiff/90 minutes.

The latter two stats are essentially middle of the pack, which is a promising sign for the club,

Betting Analysis

Oddsmakers really think we are going to see a low-scoring affair at Elland Road, but I believe otherwise. Leeds is the last team that’s going to sit back and let the game come to it, especially when it’s facing an opponent it feels is below its caliber.

That kind of approach also opens you up to defensive mistakes and susceptible to a foe’s counter attack. With that in mind, I am fully expecting a wide-open affair and will back the total going over the number at a ripe price.

I will play both teams to score in the match as well. Leeds has scored in every match this season and Wolves has only been kept off the scoresheet in that West Ham setback.

Play both with confidence in what should be an entertaining contest.

Picks: Total Over 2.5 Goals (-107); Both Teams To Score — Yes (-141)

[Bet the Leeds-Wolves match at DraftKings and get a $1,000 sign-up bonus.]