Saturday Soccer Odds, Expert Picks: Best Bets For Torino vs. Juventus & Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest (Oct. 15)
Jonathan Moscrop/Getty. Pictured: Valentino Lazaro.
Saturday is for college football, we know that, but with a full slate of soccer odds released and no American football kick off until 12 p.m. ET, why not dive into the other version of football for a few wagers as we approach college football kickoff.
Read on to see how our experts are taking advantage of the Saturday soccer odds with their best bets on Torino vs. Juventus and Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest.
Our 2 Global Saturday Best Bets
Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest
|Nottingham Forest Odds||+400|
|Over/Under||2.5 (+120/ -150)|
|Time||10 a.m. ET|
|How To Watch||USA Network|
|Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute Soccer odds here.|
Cunningham: This is an inflated price on Wolves.
I don’t care if they’ve underperformed offensively, they are still averaging only 0.89 non-penalty xG per match and have created just six big scoring chances on the season.
Wolves are one of these teams that cannot turn final third possession into high quality chances because their xThreat is 1.29 per 90, which is 11th in the Premier League. They will also still be without Raul Jimenez and Pedro Neto for this match.
Nottingham Forest have been pretty unfortunate defensively and despite what everyone thinks, they are improving.
In their last four matches they’ve played Bournemouth, Fulham, Leicester City and Aston Villa. Those are offenses that are essentially on par with Wolves this season and Nottingham Forest only allowed 3.7 xG in those matches, but their opponents scored 11 goals.
Dean Henderson’s post-shot xG+/- is only -3, so that just tells me opponents are on an insane finishing stretch against them.
I like Forest to get at least a point here, and I only have Wolves projected at -102, so I like Nottingham Forest +0.5 at +125.
Pick: Forest +0.5 (+125)
Torino vs. Juventus
|Over/Under||3.5 (+125/ -155)|
|Day | Time||12 p.m. ET|
|How To Watch||Paramount+|
|Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute Soccer odds here.|
Hennion: Are you freaking kidding me here with this line?
Juventus go on the road against Maccabi Haifa on Tuesday, loses 2-0 and are still a road favorite against Torino?
This season, the Old Lady has played like hot garbage away from home. Through four road fixtures in the Italian top flight, Juventus have a -3 goal differential with a -3.32 xG on target differential as well as a -7 big scoring chances differential.
On the flip-side, Torino have played exceptionally at home. Granted, it’s come as a result of some low-event games, but Saturday’s hosts have a +1.05 xGOT differential through four home Serie A fixtures.
Consider all nine fixtures for both teams and bettors will find Torino is once again better. Entering this fixture, they have a +3.04 xGOT differential while Juventus is sitting on -1.29.
Given this game is likely to be a knock-down, drag-it out affair – under 2.5 goals is -165 – I’ll happily take north of +200 on what I consider to be a better team right now.
Pick: Torino ML (+210)