Fulham vs. Tottenham Hotspur Odds, Picks & Predictions: How To Bet Thursday’s Premier League Match
Michael Regan/Getty Images. Pictured: Fulham standout Josh Maja.
- Fulham welcomes Tottenham Hotspur to Craven Cottage for Thursday's Premier League match.
- The Cottagers have only lost one of their last nine fixtures.
- BJ Cunningham details why he likes the hosts below.
Fulham vs. Spurs Odds
|Over/Under||2.5 (+102 / -125)|
|Day | Time||Thursday | 1 p.m. ET|
|How To Watch||Peacock Premium|
|Odds as of Wednesday afternoon via DraftKings.|
Tottenham Hotspur makes the short trip west Thursday to battle Fulham in a London Derby at Craven Cottage.
Fulham is starting to to make a push at getting out of the Premier League relegation zone. The Cottagers have only lost one of their last nine matches, which puts them only three points behind Newcastle United and Brighton & Hove Albion in the table.
Fulham received a late equalizer the last time it played Spurs, so it needs another positive result if they’re going to have a shot at surviving this season.
Spurs got back to their winning ways this past Sunday, thrashing Burnley in a 4-0 home rout. However, it’s been a difficult run for the club in England’s top flight, as they’ve lost five of their last seven matches.
Currently, Spurs is in eighth place and need to go on a run if they’re going to finish inside the top six, which would secure a spot in European soccer next season.
Ever since their 0-0 draw at Brighton on Jan. 27, the Cottagers have really improved. In its last eight matches, Fulham have notched a solid +1.01 xGD and have conceded just 1.07 xG per match. In fact, the Cottagers have kept five clean sheets in those games, which is a huge improvement since they only kept three clean sheets in their first 18 league fixtures.
However, the problem that has plagued Fulham all season is its performance in front of net. The Cottagers are only averaging 1.14 xG per match, scoring just six goals in their last eight matches. However, they did sign young English striker Josh Maja over from French side Bordeaux, so hopefully he will inject some scoring into the side.
Either way, Fulham will need to get clinical in front of net if it’s going to get a result against Spurs in this contest.
Tottenham’s regression was always going to happen at some point, and it’s come in a big way over the last seven matches. The main issue during those games has been its defense, which is allowing 1.66 xG per match. In contrast, Spurs were only allowing 1.10 xG through their first 11 matches.
The other issue that has plagued the club during their bad run of form is the fact they haven’t been converting in front of the net. Yes, Harry Kane was out injured for a few of those tilts, but overall Spurs have only created 6.53 xG in their last seven matches.
Kane and Son Heung-min have been a dynamic duo, combining for 27 goals this season, but they’ve greatly outperformed as they’ve only combined for 21.22 expected goals. So, with Fulham’s improved defensive record, I think Spurs are going to have a hard time in front of goal.
Betting Analysis & Picks
With how improved Fulham has been since the end of January, the host is absolutely capable of getting a result against its opponent. Spurs’ bad run of form might have ended last time out against Burnley, but I think their struggles are going to continue at Craven Cottage.
Therefore, I am backing Fulham at +0.5 at -113 odds as my top play.
Pick: Fulham +0.5 (-113)