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Tottenham 2018-19 Betting Preview: Will Spurs Take Another Step Forward Under Pochettino?

Jul 31, 2018 11:06 PM EDT

Tottenham 2018-19 Premier League Betting Odds

  • To Win Title: +1800
  • To Be Relegated: +100000
  • Point Total: 73.5 (Over -125/Under -105)

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Most clubs spend the summer months working on transfers. Players come and they go. That is not the case at Tottenham.

Spurs have yet to make any signings this summer and they haven’t sold anyone of note, either. It is important to keep an eye on Tottenham’s pursuit of Wilfried Zaha. The Crystal Palace star would provide Spurs with pace and skill on the right side and would give Mauricio Pochettino more flexibility in how he lines his team up each week.

The lack of turnover should help Tottenham get off to a fast start as most of the players on the squad are already familiar with the style Pochettino likes to play. And even though Spurs will need to navigate a loaded schedule with Champions League and domestic cup competitions, this is nothing new to them. They are used to the wear and tear of a loaded schedule and will be boosted now that Lucas Moura has a full season under his belt and Erik Lamela is fully fit.

According to Understat, Spurs were pretty much in line with where they should have been from a goal-expectation and point-expectation standpoint last season. There were some dramatic differences among other teams in the top four. For example, Spurs’ expected point total was only one point lower than their actual total while Manchester United outran their expected total by almost 19 points. That is a good sign that Spurs should maintain — or improve — on what they’ve built under Pochettino.

As good as Tottenham have been over the past few seasons, their latest “golden generation” will want to deliver some silverware for their fan base as they haven’t won a trophy since 2007-08 when they lifted the League Cup. Asking this squad to win the Champions League or Premier League may be a bit of a reach, but if they can win the FA Cup or even the League Cup, it could go a long way toward satisfying the supporters.

The Bet To Watch

I think the best bet to make this season is backing Tottenham to finish in the Top 4 at -130 (BetOnline). I think Manchester City wins the league a vast majority of the time, but the next five or six spots behind them are up for grabs. Manchester United will likely regress, and Burnley will probably struggle since they’ll be playing in Europa League. That leaves three spots between the likes of Tottenham, Liverpool, Chelsea and Arsenal.

Another bet I think has some potential is combining Manchester City to win the League with Harry Kane winning Top Goalscorer at +550 (BetOnline). I don’t think Mohamed Salah’s 2017-18 performance is fully sustainable and I think Kane has a great chance to win top goalscorer, but at +300 there isn’t much value. However, by adding Man City to the bet, your odds move to +550, and I think that provides a lot of value.


All odds current as of 3 p.m. ET

Credit:

Tottenham Hotspur. Pictured: Harry Kane

Follow Sean Newsham on Twitter
@psufans2

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