Seattle vs. FC Dallas Odds & Pick: How to Bet Tuesday’s MLS Playoff Match (Dec. 1)
Abbie Parr/Getty Images. Pictured: Seattle Sounders stars Nicolás Lodeiro, left, and Jordan Morris.
- The Sounders are favored over FC Dallas in Tuesday night MLS postseason action.
- There's a reason the path to an MLS Cup usually runs through Seattle, and their stellar advanced numbers during the regular season during this campaign back that up.
- Get Jeremy Pond's full breakdown and bets for Sounders vs. FC Dallas below.
Seattle vs. FC Dallas Odds
|Seattle Odds||-155 [BET NOW]|
|FC Dallas Odds||+400 [BET NOW]|
|Draw||+285 [BET NOW]|
|Over/Under||2.5 (-162/+118) [BET NOW]|
|Time||9:30 p.m. ET|
Things will heat up in Major League Soccer postseason action Tuesday when Seattle hosts FC Dallas in a Western Conference semifinal match.
The Sounders, seeded No. 2 in the conference playoffs, advanced to this game with a convincing, 3-1 win over Los Angeles Football Club in the first round. As for the fifth-seeded Toros, they needed eight rounds of penalty kicks to get past host Portland at Providence Park.
This showdown of conference powers features clubs who go about things very differently in their organizational approach.
The Sounders, the reigning MLS Cup champions, are loaded with experienced talent and veteran leadership. On the other side, the Toros are one of the league’s youngest teams in terms of player personnel, relying heavily on its homegrown standouts.
Suffice it to say, this will be a highly entertaining affair at Lumen Field. Let’s take a look at this intriguing contest and see what’s in store.
The Sounders looked great at the start of their latest MLS Cup journey, thoroughly dominating LAFC en route to that 3-1 victory.
Seattle’s monster trio of Nicolás Lodeiro, Raul Ruidiaz and Jordan Morris found the back of the net (coincidentally, in that order), which should have put all teams on notice that Seattle is ready to make another deep playoff run.
The threesome gave the Sounders the lead less than 20 minutes into the first half, with Lodeiro putting them in front with a beauty of a finish.
— Seattle Sounders FC (@SoundersFC) November 25, 2020
Throughout the season, Seattle simply dominated, and its underlying numbers reflect that.
The Sounders finished with 41.8 expected goals for and 20.9 xGA during the regular season, giving the club a stellar +20.9 xGDiff and +0.95 xGDiff/90 minutes. Those figures led the entire conference during the regular season.
The Toros showed in their shootout win against Portland that youth doesn’t always lose out when facing a veteran side.
Trailing 1-0 late in the game, FC Dallas found new life and forced overtime when 17-year-old Ricardo Pepi knocked home a rebound from his own shot.
Goalkeeper Jimmy Maurer took care of the rest, finally putting FC Dallas into the seminal round when he parried away a shot from Jorge Villafaña to seal the deal.
— FC Dallas (@FCDallas) November 26, 2020
When comparing advanced numbers, FC Dallas was obviously not as strong as Seattle. The Toros had a respectable 31.8 xG goals and quite average 30.6 expected goals against for a balanced +1.2 xGDiff and +0.06 xGDiff/90 minutes.
Betting Analysis & Picks
As much as things evolve around the league, one thing stays the same. Simply put, the road to MLS Cup out west always goes through Seattle at some point.
There is a reason why the Sounders have reached the championship in three of their past four campaigns, bringing home two titles in the process — talent, depth and a master craftsman running the show in manager Brian Schmetzer.
That said, I am not going to overthink things and will back Seattle on the moneyline to earn its fourth trip to the conference final in the last five years. Lodeiro, Morris and Ruidiaz are on top of their respective games, which I feel is going to be the difference in this intriguing contest.
I will also back the total going over the number. The price is a little steep, but it’s worth laying this number in my opinion. There have been at least three goals in seven of the last eight meetings between these sides across all competitions. I can’t see that not happening again in what should be a wildly entertaining affair.
Picks: Seattle ML (-155) | Total Over 2.5 Goals (-162)