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Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez Prediction, Pick, Odds for 2026 US Open

Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez Prediction, Pick, Odds for 2026 US Open article feature image
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IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect. Pictured: Jessica Pegula

To kick off the day on Arthur Ashe, United States' Jessica Pegula will take on Canada's Leylah Fernandez in a US Open third-round match on Friday.

Pegula is the fourth favorite to win the event at DraftKings at +1000, behind the likes of Aryna Sabalenka, Coco Gauff and Iga Swiatek.

Find my US Open preview and Pegula vs Fernandez prediction for Friday below.


Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez Player Prediction

  • Pegula vs Fernandez Pick: Jessica Pegula to Serve 5+ Aces (+100, bet365)

My Pegula vs Fernandez best bet is on Pegula to serve five-plus aces. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live WTA odds page.


Pegula vs Fernandez Odds

Jessica Pegula Odds-710
Leylah Fernandez Odds+458
SpreadPegula -4.5 (-145), Fernandez +4.5 (-105)
Over/Under21.5 (+105o / -165u)
Pegula-Fernandez H2H3-1
Time | How to WatchFriday, Approx. 11:30 a.m. ET | ESPN
Odds via DraftKings

Pegula vs Fernandez Predictions, Betting Analysis

By: Tudor Cosma

Pegula will show why she's one of the favorites for the title at the US Open and possibly the new world No. 1.

So far, in her first two matches in New York, she hasn't played a weak set, and her serve has been close to perfect.

She's also recorded quite a few aces, showing her strong form on serve. She had four aces against Elena-Gabriela Ruse and five versus Sofia Kenin in short matches.

Meanwhile, Fernandez must be respected because she's a former finalist at the US Open and a player who can always produce surprises.

Her serve isn't that efficient, and she generally serves few aces. She had two aces with Mananchaya Sawangkaew and only one against Naomi Osaka.

I believe that Pegula will serve more aces, and I'm going to take a stab on over 5+ at bet365 (+100) in what could be a longer than expected match against Fernandez.

Pick: Jessica Pegula to Serve 5+ Aces (+100, bet365)

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