The Las Vegas Aces (4-2) and Dallas Wings (4-3) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:00 p.m. EDT at College Park Center in Arlington, Texas. The game will be broadcast live on Amazon Prime Video.
The Aces are favored by -4 on the spread, with the over/under set at 178.5 (-110o / -110u). The Aces are a -190 favorite to win outright, while the Wings are +158 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Aces vs. Wings predictions and WNBA picks.
Aces vs Wings Odds, Pick
| Aces Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-4 -110 | 178.5 -110o / -110u | -190 |
| Wings Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+4 -110 | 178.5 -110o / -110u | +158 |
- Aces vs. Wings Spread: Aces -4 (-110), Wings +4 (-110)
- Aces vs. Wings Over/Under: 178.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Aces vs. Wings Moneyline: Aces -190, Wings +158
- Aces vs. Wings Best Bet: NaLyssa Smith Under 8.5 Points (-115, Caesars)
Aces vs. Wings Preview
Action PRO projects Aces forward NaLyssa Smith for 7.27 points in their matchup against the Wings tonight, giving us a nice 15.8% edge against the market when compared to her current prop line of over/under 8.5, which is good enough to mark the under with an A- grade in our system.
Aces vs. Wings Prediction
Smith is averaging 11.3 points per game this season, though her scoring production has fluctuated heavily from game to game. She has already stayed under this number twice this year, finishing with six and four points in those outings.
Her most recent performance may inflate expectations a bit after she erupted for 22 points against the Sparks, but that looks more like an outlier than the start of a consistent scoring trend. Prior to that game, Smith had largely operated as a secondary offensive option within Las Vegas' rotation.
Looking at a larger sample, Smith has gone under this line in six of her last 10 games dating back to last season. With the Aces featuring multiple high-usage scoring options led by A'ja Wilson, Smith’s offensive opportunities can vary significantly depending on game flow and matchup.
Best Bet: NaLyssa Smith Under 8.5 Points (-115, Caesars)
