The Las Vegas Aces (4-3) and Golden State Valkyries (5-2) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 3:30 p.m. EDT at Chase Center in San Francisco, Calif. The game will be broadcast live on NBC/Peacock.
The Aces are favored by -1.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 169.5 (-110o / -110u). The Aces are a -130 favorite to win outright, while the Valkyries are +110 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Aces vs. Valkyries predictions and WNBA picks.
Aces vs. Valkyries Odds, Pick
| Aces Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -115 | 169.5 -110o / -110u | -130 |
| Valkyries Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -105 | 169.5 -110o / -110u | +110 |
- Aces vs. Valkyries Spread: Aces -1.5 (-115), Valkyries +1.5 (-105)
- Aces vs. Valkyries Over/Under: 169.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Aces vs. Valkyries Moneyline: Aces -130, Valkyries +110
- Aces vs. Valkyries Best Bet: A'ja Wilson Under 24.5 Points (-117, Caesars)
Aces vs. Valkyries Preview
Action PRO projects Aces forward A'ja Wilson for 20.53 points in her matchup against the Valkyries tonight, giving us a nice 27.3% edge against the market when compared to her current prop line of over/under 24.5, which is good enough to mark the under with an A+ grade in our system.
Aces vs. Valkyries Prediction
Wilson is averaging 24.3 points per game this season and remains one of the most dominant offensive players in the WNBA. However, this line asks a lot, especially considering her recent results.
She has stayed under 24.5 points in three of her last five games, posting totals of 21, 20 and 22 points in those contests. Looking at a larger sample, Wilson has gone under this number in five of her last 10 games, showing that clearing the mid-20s consistently is far from automatic, even for a player of her caliber.
The Aces have several capable scoring options around Wilson, and opposing defenses are always focused on limiting her touches and forcing other players to beat them. As a result, even strong performances can sometimes finish just short of this lofty number.
Best Bet: A'ja Wilson Under 24.5 Points (-117, Caesars)
