The New York Liberty (11-4) and Atlanta Dream (10-6) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 3:00 p.m. EDT at Gateway Center Arena in College Park, Ga. The game will be broadcast live on ESPN3.
The Liberty are favored by -3.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 166 (-110o / -110u). The Liberty are a -172 favorite to win outright, while the Dream are +140 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Liberty vs. Dream prediction and WNBA picks.
Liberty vs. Dream Odds, Pick
| Liberty Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -110 | 166 -110o / -110u | -172 |
| Dream Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -110 | 166 -110o / -110u | +140 |
- Liberty vs. Dream Spread: Liberty -3.5 (-110), Dream +3.5 (-110)
- Liberty vs. Dream Over/Under: 166 (-110o / -110u)
- Liberty vs. Dream Moneyline: Liberty -172, Dream +140
- Liberty vs. Dream Best Bet: Dream Moneyline
Liberty vs. Dream Preview
After racing out to a 9-0 start, the Liberty have lost four of six.
Jonquel Jones' absence is certainly a factor, but not the only reason the Liberty are faltering. Regardless, Jones is expected to miss between two and four weeks, so New York will have to figure out a way to stabilize itself in her absence.
Sabrina Ionescu struggled from the field and scored just nine points on 2-of-9 shooting in Friday's loss to the Mercury and if New York is going to get back on track it'll need more from Ionescu in a tough road enviornment.
Meanwhile, Atlanta has lost two straight, including a heartbreaking overtime affair to the Lynx on Friday night. Allisha Gray, who leads the Dream in scoring with 19.5 points per game, scored 17 on Friday night and will look to turn in another strong performance today as Atlanta seeks an upset win.
Liberty vs. Dream Prediction
The Liberty are one of the best teams in the WNBA, but have hit a bit of a rough patch, which is partially why our PRO "WNBA Moneyline Line Moves" system has popped for this contest.
Overall, this system is 168-237 (41%) with a 26% ROI, and this season it is 3-1 with a 150% ROI. Obviously those numbers are intriguing, but what exactly does this system look for and target?
Well, it backs WNBA underdogs on the moneyline when the line moves favor them. In other words, when the opening spread drops, it often signals mispricing or quiet sharp action. Also of note, this system works best in the regular season and when the total is moderate (between 143.5-169).
Best Bet: Dream Moneyline
