The New York Liberty (1-0) and Chicago Sky (0-1) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:00 p.m. EDT at Wintrust Arena in Chicago, Ill. The game will be broadcast live on The U.
The Liberty are favored by -12 on the spread, with the over/under set at 164 (-110o / -110u). The Liberty are a -750 favorite to win outright, while the Sky are +525 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Liberty vs. Sky predictions and WNBA picks for Thursday, May 22.
Liberty vs Sky Odds, Pick
| Liberty Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-12 -115 | 164 -110o / -110u | -750 |
| Sky Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+12 -105 | 164 -110o / -110u | +525 |
- Liberty vs Sky Spread: Liberty -12 (-115), Sky +12 (-105)
- Liberty vs Sky Over/Under: 164 (-110o / -110u)
- Liberty vs Sky Moneyline: Liberty -750, Sky +525
- Liberty vs Sky Best Bet: Breanna Stewart Under 8.5 Rebounds (-115) · Sabrina Ionescu Under 22.5 Points + Assists (-108)
Liberty vs Sky WNBA Betting Preview
The Liberty come into this game with a 1-0 record following a 92-78 victory over the Las Vegas Aces to kick off the season.
Breanna Stewart led the way in the first win of the season with a 25-point outing, while Natasha Cloud added 22 and Jonquel Jones chipped in 17. That trio did enough to hold off A'ja Wilson and Co. after Wilson put up a game-high 31 points.
The win sets up a matchup with the Chicago Sky, who are 0-1 following a 35-point loss to Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever on May 17.
Angel Reese led the Sky with a 12-point, 17-rebound double-double, while Ariel Atkins scored 11 points as the only other Chicago player to reach double figures.
What can we take away from those two games? Let's dive in.
Breanna Stewart Under 8.5 Rebounds (-115)
By Prop Model
The rebounds prop for Stewart looks like a strong under wager based on the current data.
The line of 8.5 compares favorably based on our WNBA simulations. The prop projects to hit 59.33% of the time based on the assumptions, and that represents a 5.84% edge.
Last year, Stewart averaged 8.5 rebounds per game — right where this line is set. However, she went under this total in her lone game this season, pulling down eight boards in the season opener against the Aces.
You can find all WNBA props in our props tool.
Sabrina Ionescu Under 22.5 Points + Assists (-108)
Ionescu's points + assists prop of 22.5 looks like a quality under wager when looking at today's data.
The prop projects to hit 59.52% of the time based on the assumptions, representing a 6.69% edge.
Ionescu went way under this line in the season opener, ranking up eight points and four assists for a grand total of 12 points + assists. She missed all five of her 3-point attempts and shot just 3-of-12 from the floor.
If that trend continues, this under would cash with ease.
Picks: Breanna Stewart Under 8.5 Rebounds (-115) · Sabrina Ionescu Under 22.5 Points + Assists (-108)
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