The Phoenix Mercury (3-8) and Portland Fire (6-5) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 10:00 p.m. EDT at Moda Center in Portland, Ore. The game will be broadcast live on ION.
The Fire are favored by -2.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 161 (-110o / -110u). The Fire are a -150 favorite to win outright, while the Mercury are +125 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Mercury vs. Fire predictions and WNBA picks.
Mercury vs. Fire Odds, Pick
| Mercury Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -110 | 161 -110o / -110u | +125 |
| Fire Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 -110 | 161 -110o / -110u | -150 |
- Mercury vs. Fire Spread: Fire -2.5 (-11o), Mercury +2.5 (-110)
- Mercury vs. Fire Over/Under: 161 (-110o / -110u)
- Mercury vs. Fire Moneyline: Mercury +125, Fire -150
- Mercury vs. Fire Best Bet: Natasha Mack Under 9.5 Rebounds
Mercury vs. Fire Polymarket Odds
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Mercury vs. Fire Preview
Action PRO projects Mercury forward Natasha Mack for 8.19 rebounds in her matchup against the Fire tonight, giving us a nice 21.7% edge against the market when compared to her current prop line of over/under 9.5, which is good enough to mark the under with an A+ grade in our system.
Mercury vs. Fire Prediction
Mack is averaging 8.6 rebounds per game this season and has been one of Phoenix's most reliable presences on the glass. However, this line sits above her season average and it creates value on the under according to our projections.
She has stayed under 9.5 rebounds in two of her last five games, finishing with six and seven boards in those contests. She has posted some strong rebounding performances throughout the season, but her production has not consistently reached double digits.
Looking at a larger sample, Mack has gone under this number in four of her last 10 games. That trend aligns with PRO's projection, which expects her to finish closer to eight rebounds than 10.
Best Bet: Natasha Mack Under 9.5 Rebounds (+110, bet365)
