The Connecticut Sun (9-27) and New York Liberty (22-15) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 7:00 p.m. EDT at Barclays Center in Brooklyn, N.Y. The game will be broadcast live on NBCS-BOS.
Let's get into my Sun vs. Liberty prediction and WNBA picks.
The Liberty are favored by -11.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 164.5 (-110o / -110u). The Liberty are a -650 favorite to win outright, while the Sun are +425 to pull off the upset.
Sun vs. Liberty Odds, Pick
| Sun Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+11.5 -110 | 164.5 -110o / -110u | +425 |
| Liberty Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-11.5 -110 | 164.5 -110o / -110u | -650 |
- Sun vs. Liberty Spread: Liberty -11.5 (-110 ), Sun +11.5 (-110)
- Sun vs. Liberty Over/Under: 164.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Sun vs. Liberty Moneyline: Sun +425, Liberty -650
- Sun vs. Liberty Best Bet: Sun +11.5
Sun vs. Liberty Preview
The Liberty, a team that boasts the fifth-best record in the league but has lost back-to-back games, hosts the Sun, who have already been eliminated from postseason contention but have won three straight.
On paper, it's clear — the Liberty are the better team. However, Connecticut is playing much better at the moment, and there may be some betting value in backing the Sun as New York looks to right the ship and get back on track before the playoffs.
Sun vs. Liberty Prediction
This system targets low-win-percentage WNBA teams (≤30%) that are coming off a win, and now playing as an underdog (spread 2.5-18). These teams often remain undervalued by the market, and bettors overreact to their last win, creating inflated lines and betting value.
Overall, this system is 94-69-3 (58%) and has produced a 12% ROI. This season, the system has generated a 14% ROI and has cashed 60% of its picks (9-6-1).
Best Bet: Sun +11.5
