Arizona State Sun Devils Odds

Arizona State Sun Devils Odds & Betting Guide — 2026 Season

Two years ago the Big 12 media poll picked Arizona State to finish last. The Sun Devils won the conference. The market has been recalibrating ever since, and it still isn't sure what to make of them.

Where Arizona State stands

Kenny Dillingham's third season produced 8-5, 6-3 in the Big 12, and a 42-39 Sun Bowl loss to Duke. Injuries shaped most of it. That followed the 11-3 championship season in 2024 that ended with a double-overtime Peach Bowl loss to Texas in the College Football Playoff quarterfinal.

Put those together and Arizona State has 19 wins across two seasons, its third-best two-year stretch since 1952. For context on how unusual that is in Tempe: the program has produced twelve eight-win seasons in the 39 years since 1987, and Dillingham has delivered two of them in three years. He turned down Michigan this offseason and signed a long-term extension instead.

The roster he returns is not the one that produced those numbers. Quarterback Sam Leavitt transferred out. Receiver Jordyn Tyson went eighth overall to New Orleans. Cornerback Keith Abney II went to Detroit. That's the offense's engine, its best weapon and its top cover man, gone in one offseason.

Dillingham answered in the portal, landing a class ranked 15th nationally. Cutter Boley, a sophomore who transferred from Kentucky, takes over at quarterback after flashing as a freshman. New corners Ashton Stamps from LSU and Caleb Chester from Texas arrive on projection rather than proof.

The staff, at least, is stable. Marcus Arroyo returns for a third year running the offense and Brian Ward for a fourth on defense, which matters more than usual for a roster this reshuffled.

The Big 12 held steady, but Arizona State's schedule did not

The Big 12 kept its sixteen-team membership intact for 2026. No arrivals, no departures, and pricing that rests on two full years of the current alignment.

Arizona State's calendar is another matter. The Sun Devils play Kansas on Sept. 19 at Wembley Stadium in London, the inaugural Union Jack Classic and the first regular-season FBS game staged in Britain. It counts as a Big 12 conference game and carries a Kansas home designation, which makes Arizona State the road team eight time zones from Tempe in the third week of the season.

That's the earliest the Sun Devils have opened conference play since 2014, and only their second international trip ever after a 1990 game in Tokyo. Everything else on the schedule follows familiar Big 12 patterns, and comparing where the Sun Devils sit among their conference rivals is straightforward for those games. The London fixture is the one nobody has a model for.

Arizona State 2026 futures odds

Books set the win total at 6.5, down sharply from a team that has won eight and eleven in consecutive years.

The case for the under is personnel, not doubt. Losing a starting quarterback, a top-ten NFL Draft receiver and your best corner in a single cycle is real attrition, and portal rankings measure incoming talent rather than fit or continuity. Boley has a handful of freshman appearances to his name. The new corners have none in this system. A 6.5 that looks disrespectful on the surface is mostly the market pricing three specific holes.

The case for the over is the pattern. Dillingham was picked 16th of 16 in 2024 and won the league. He has beaten his number before, and he has now done it with two different rosters. The schedule also cooperates in stretches: Morgan State and Hawai'i at home are near-locks, Baylor, Kansas State, Colorado and Oklahoma State all come to Tempe, and the three toughest road tests are the ones nobody expects him to win anyway.

Weigh both sides against the rest of the college football futures board before committing.

Betting Arizona State point spreads

A point spread bet turns on margin of victory rather than who wins.

Take the Wembley game against Kansas. These are illustrative prices, so pull live college football odds for the real number:

• Arizona State +2.5 (-110)
• Kansas -2.5 (-110)

Arizona State covers by winning outright or losing by one or two. Kansas covers by winning by three or more. The -110 on each side is the vig: risk $1.10 to win $1.

The Sun Devils angle: oddsmakers have no comparable game to price this one against. The NFL's London history offers some guidance on travel effects, but no FBS program has played a regular-season game in Britain, and college rosters handle long-haul travel differently than professional ones. Kickoff lands at noon Eastern, which is 5 p.m. in London and 9 a.m. body-clock time for a team based in Tempe. Whether that matters is unknown, which is precisely the point: when the market lacks precedent, opening numbers move more and books disagree more. Watch how the line travels between open and close, and track how Arizona State performs against expectations through the against the spread standings once the season has data.

Line shopping matters most on games like this. A bet365 bonus code or a BetRivers bonus code gets you a second and third number to compare, and our best sportsbooks rankings cover which books post first on unusual fixtures.

Betting Arizona State totals

An over/under asks whether the combined final score lands above or below the posted number. At 52.5, a 31-24 final goes over and a 27-21 final stays under.

• Over 52.5 (-110)
• Under 52.5 (-110)

The 24-point rule: this is the most useful number attached to Dillingham's Arizona State. Across his three seasons, the Sun Devils are 16-1 in games where they held the opponent under 24 points. The lone exception came in 2023 against a Washington team that reached the national championship game. Hold anyone else below 24 and this program wins.

That gives totals a different meaning here than it does elsewhere. On most teams the total and the side move somewhat independently. On Arizona State, an under that lands below roughly 24 points allowed is close to a proxy for a Sun Devils win, which means the two markets carry more shared information than the pricing usually reflects. Whether Ward's rebuilt secondary can keep hitting that threshold is the real question of the season. Public betting data helps you read it, since it separates the share of tickets from the share of dollars and shows whether the money agrees with where the number sits.

Our analysts work the same angles in weekly college football picks.

Betting the Arizona State moneyline

A moneyline bet is a bet on who wins outright. Margin is irrelevant.

An illustrative home price:

• Arizona State -180
• Opponent +155

Convert to implied probability and the margin appears. Arizona State at -180 breaks even around 64.3%; the opponent at +155 breaks even around 39.2%. Those sum past 100%, and the excess is the sportsbook's cut.

On payouts, $10 on Arizona State at -180 returns $15.56 for a $5.56 profit. The same $10 at +155 returns $25.50 for a $15.50 profit. An odds calculator handles any price.

Worth clearing up: a short price is not the same as poor value. Laying -180 means you need a higher hit rate to profit, nothing more. Whether the bet is good depends on how 64.3% compares to Arizona State's real chance of winning.

The Territorial Cup at Arizona on Nov. 28 is the only Big 12 rivalry game scheduled for the final weekend, and rivalry moneylines tend to draw heavier public money than the matchup justifies. A BetMGM bonus code or a Fanatics Sportsbook promo code gives you somewhere to compare, and we track college football betting promos as they change.

Arizona State player props

College prop markets aren't offered in every legal state, so availability varies even where you can bet the game.

Boley is the hardest quarterback to price in the conference. He arrives from Kentucky with a freshman sample measured in appearances rather than seasons, stepping into an offense that just lost both its starting quarterback and a top-ten NFL Draft receiver. Oddsmakers building his passing lines have almost nothing recent and comparable to work from, so early numbers lean on Arroyo's system and last year's team totals rather than on the player himself.

That produces wider uncertainty than a typical Big 12 starter carries, and it usually means softer numbers through September. The Wembley trip sits inside that window too, which adds another variable to a market already short on information.

Receiving props inherit the same problem. Omarion Miller leads a group being reassembled after Tyson's departure, and target distribution in a new passing offense is a projection rather than an observation until the snaps prove otherwise.