2020 TOUR Championship Betting Picks: Our Favorite Prop Bets

The format for the 2020 TOUR Championship will present an interesting challenge for golf bettors. Especially for those who like to play the prop markets.

TOUR Championship Format

The event features a 30-player field and features a strokes-based system, called FedEx Starting Strokes, instituted for the first time in 2019. The player with the lowest total score will win the FedEx Cup and be credited with an official victory at the TOUR Championship.

Here’s how it will work:

Dustin Johnson, the FedEx Cup points leader after the first two playoffs events, will begin the TOUR Championship at 10-under par. Jon Rahm will begin at 8-under, Justin Thomas at 7-under, Webb Simpson at 6-under and Collin Morikawa at 5-under.

After Morikawa, the rest of the field is grouped in bunches of five and assigned the same score, based on the FedEx Cup Standings. There are five players who will start at 4-under, five at 3-under and so on, until we get to the players ranked 26th-30th, who will begin at even par.

With all that in mind, here are our favorite prop bets for the 2020 TOUR Championship:

Jason Sobel

Brendon Todd Top-5 Finish (+900)

Starting position: Tied for 11th

I’ll readily admit it: Through all of Todd’s midsummer title contentions, I didn’t love him at most of those venues. Some were better suited for longer hitters; others had especially deep fields. He’s continued to surprise and impress me, though, by climbing the leaderboard at tournaments which don’t necessarily suit him. All of which leads to this week, one which should suit him perfectly.

Back in his current hometown of Atlanta, playing on Bermuda greens, on a course which mostly doesn’t benefit length off the tee, East Lake should be right up Todd’s alley. Starting at 11th on the board, I can easily see him moving into the top-five based on a combination of physical skills and mental toughness – essentially, this is going to mean a lot more to him than it will to so many of the other superstars in this field.

I’ll bank on the combination of those things helping his top-five come true here.

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Josh Perry

Daniel Berger Top-10 Finish (-125)

Starting Position: Tied for 6th

I like Berger a lot this week, so it's no surprise that he features in this spot for me, too.

This bet does factor in starting position, so with Berger starting the TOUR Championship tied for sixth, I like his chances here.

East Lake puts a lot of emphasis on the approach game and that is one of Berger's best attributes. Even though Berger was a little off last week, he's been one of the most consistent golfers on TOUR since the hiatus.

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Matt Vincenzi

Billy Horschel to win without FedEx Cup Starting Points (+2500)

Billy doesn’t always get to East Lake, but when he does he performs. A former champion (2014), Horschel has a 67.83 stroke average at the course (second all time).

Growing up in Florida, Bermudagrass greens come second nature to former Florida Gator. Horschel also loves Donald Ross designs as we saw three weeks ago at the Wyndham Championship (second-place finish). He gained 6.9 strokes on the greens at Sedgefield Country Club, which feature putting surfaces extremely similar to what we will see at East Lake.

While it will be almost impossible to actually win the TOUR Championship with the added stroke bonus component, “Bermuda Billy” can absolutely shoot the lowest score for the week.

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