PGA Championship Betting Picks: 4 Prop Bets That Have Value at Kiawah Island
Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images. Pictured: Victor Perez
Every Major Championship Week brings a wider menu of prop bets from bookmakers. It’s a good way to find value on players who may not be contenders to win, but you think could make some noise. It also provides an opportunity to go against players who you think may be in store for a down week.
Here are a few props I’ll be targeting for the 2021 PGA Championship at Kiawah Island:
Top Japanese Player: Fade Hideki Matsuyama
I’m looking for a spot to go against the newly-crowned Masters champ Hideki Matsuyama. The Japanese star finished T39 at last week’s Byron Nelson in his first start since donning the Green Jacket.
Matsuayama is -350 to be the low player from Japan (bet365), ahead of two young upstarts, Takumi Kanaya and Rikuya Hoshino.
While Hideki took a well deserved step away after the victory at Augusta. Kanaya and Hoshino come in red hot on the Japan Tour, winning three of the last five events over there. During that time, neither shot a round over 72.
Kanaya at +450 would be my pick of the two, but I’m going to split my wager between him and Hoshino at +600 and see if one of them can carry over their solid play this week and knock off Matsuyama.
Dean Burmester: Top-20 Finish (+1400, PointsBet)
While Garrick Higgo has drawn a lot of the attention over in Europe in the past month, his South African compatriot Dean Burmester has been in a fine run of form as well.
Burmester picked up a win three weeks back and has five top-10 finishes in his last nine starts overseas.
He hits the ball a mile and tends to be a strong putter which should help him on this set up.
I think given how well he’s been playing lately, it’s worth a look at this price. You could also drift down to Top 30 or 40, where he’s +700 and +400, respectively, and give yourself some more margin for error.
Victor Perez: Top Continental European (+2200, BetMGM)
We’ve seen a couple Pete Dye courses in recent months at Sawgrass and Austin Country Club.
Perez was the top continental Euro at both of those stops, tying with Jon Rahm and Sergio Garcia for ninth at THE PLAYERS, then making the semifinals of the WGC Match Play.
A missed cut at Augusta has thrown Perez back down the board, but his tee-to-green game stacks up well in these marquee events. He’s above average off the tee with both length and accuracy and hits a large number of greens.
He’d have to fend off a couple of big names like Rahm and Viktor Hovland, but right now, he’s listed below players like Francesco Molinari and Thomas Pieters and I think he’s got a far better chance of coming out ahead of the group than either of them.