2021 RBC Heritage Sleeper Picks: Our Six Best Longshot Bets at Harbour Town
Steve Dykes/Getty Images. Pictured: Tom Hoge
- Just because it's not the Masters, doesn't mean the winnings spend any differently.
- See who are among GolfBet's favorite sleeper picks at the 2021 RBC Heritage.
It’s always sad to leave Augusta National but if you’re a part of the GolfBet community you know our credo: “The money you win on the John Deere Classic is just as green as the cash you win on the Masters.”
With those words ringing in our head, we move on to the RBC Heritage at Harbour Town. Oftentimes the field for the tournament right after a major is lacking starpower but plenty of the TOUR’s biggest names have made their way to Harbour Town. Dustin Johnson is the favorite, defending champion Webb Simpson is right behind him and Will Zalatoris is lurking around +2500. That doesn’t mention Patrick Cantlay, Collin Morikawa, Tyrrell Hatton and Daniel Berger.
Even though there is a lot of oomph at the top of the oddsboard, Harbour Town has been a happy hunting ground for longshots in the past. CT Pan and Satoshi Kodaira have wins here, after all.
With that in mind, we tasked our golf experts to pick out their favorite longshot bets for the 2021 RBC Heritage:
Adam Hadwin (+10000)
Over the past year or two, Hadwin has been surpassed on the OWGR by fellow Canadian players Corey Conners and Mackenzie Hughes. It’s easy to forget just how good Hadwin is when his game is humming, but he’s shown signs of getting back to that place soon, with results of 23rd-8th-29th in his last three starts.
I think this is a good week to take some chances by fading the studs and Hadwin comes with a discounted price tag.
Christiaan Bezuidenhout (+7000)
Christiaan Bezuidenhout has been playing consistently solid golf for six months now. He’s made 14 straight cuts worldwide and picked up a couple of wins in his native South Africa just before the calendar turned to 2021.
Harbour Town is a course that will help hide his weakness off the tee a bit and instead will put the emphasis on the short game and that is usually a strength for Bezuidenhout.
Tom Hoge (+22000)
Let’s go really deep on the sleeper this week with Tom Hoge.
This is not a name I expected to show up at the top of my list when I started digging in, but he certainly stands out with his recent form. Hoge has gained strokes on the field with his approach play in each of his last seven tournaments, including gaining 6.3 strokes two weeks ago at the Valero Texas Open. He was able to turn that into a tie for 12th, despite losing more than two strokes with his putter.
If he can find some more consistency with the flat stick this week in Hilton Head, on his preferred bermudagrass putting surface, he will have a shot to be in contention again with his solid ball-striking.
I’ll be on Hoge with sprinkle to win, but will also look to add him in many of the placement markets.
Lucas Glover (+9000)
Glover presents some eye-opening value this week considering his current form. The 41-year-old TOUR veteran followed up a 19th-place finish at the Honda with an extraordinary ball-striking performance at The Valero Texas Open, where he finished in solo fourth. Glover was immaculate, gaining an absurd (and career-best) 12 strokes tee to green.
While putting is always a struggle for him, Glover has gained strokes around the green in three consecutive events which could help him avoid costly bogeys with the flat stick. Fairways and greens in the recipe this week and few do that better than Lucas Glover when he is in peak form.
Emiliano Grillo (+8000)
Grillo is perennially one of the best ball-strikers on TOUR, and has had some decent success at Harbour Town in his three starts, which include a 16th and 33rd. After a subpar 2020 season, the Argentinian has picked it up this year, posting five top 25s over his last 10 starts including three top-11 finishes in that stretch.
It will obviously come down to whether or not his putter cooperates, but Grillo ranks 10th in this field in SG: Ball-Striking over his past 36 rounds and his pinpoint approach play will be a real weapon this week with the tiny greens we have at Harbour Town.
He’s coming off a T-6 his last time out in Punta Cana and I like chancing him at 80/1 here.
Cameron Davis (+13000)
I am very bullish on Cam Davis over the long-term, so any time he is in the triple digits, he deserves a look.
In his last 10 tournaments, Davis is gaining an average of 2.1 strokes on approach against the field. Unfortunately, his short game has been really hampering him in that same stretch, losing a full stroke on and around the greens.
The ball-striking numbers have admittedly fallen off a bit over the last month or so, but Davis has still made the cut in seven of his last 10 tournaments with a top-5 finish mixed in as well. I’ll continue to back Davis this week, and If you can find a book that offers an E/W (each way) on a top-5 finish, I’d hop on that as well.
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