2021 RSM Classic Betting Card, Odds: Back Dahmen, Henley & These 4 Longshots on PGA TOUR

2021 RSM Classic Betting Card, Odds: Back Dahmen, Henley & These 4 Longshots on PGA TOUR article feature image
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Carmen Mandato/Getty Images. Pictured: Joel Dahmen

We’ll start wrapping up the 2021 golf calendar with an old favorite in the RSM Classic.

This is a tournament that’s been good to us in the past and is fairly straightforward when it comes to betting angles. We’ll be looking for strong wedge play and Bermuda putters this week.

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2021 RSM Classic Odds

Click here to see the full odds board as of Monday
Golfer Odds
Scottie Scheffler +1000
Webb Simpson +1200
Cameron Smith +1400
Louis Oosthuizen +1600
Russell Henley +2200
Corey Conners +2200
Harris English +2500
Talor Gooch +3500
Adam Scott +3500
Joaquin Niemann +3500
Alexander Noren +3500
Chris Kirk +4500
Justin Rose +5000
Kevin Kisner +5000
Mackenzie Hughes +5000
Charles Howell III +6000
Keegan Bradley +6000
Brendon Todd +6000
Mito Pereira +6000
Joel Dahmen +6500
Seamus Power +6500
Max Homa +6500
Jhonattan Vegas +6500
Danny Lee +6500
Matt Kuchar +6500
Robert Streb +7000
Taylor Moore +8000
Branden Grace +8000
Brian Harman +8000
Kevin Streelman +8000
Patrick Rodgers +8000
Jason Day +8000
Matt Wallace +8000
Greyson Sigg +8000
Troy Merritt +8000
Scott Piercy +9000
Adam Long +9000
Aaron Rai +9000
Alex Smalley +9000
Luke List +9000
Matthias Schwab +10000
Lanto Griffin +10000
Sebastian Munoz +10000
Hayden Buckley +10000
Emiliano Grillo +10000
Adam Hadwin +10000
Henrik Norlander +11000
Brian Stuard +13000
Brendan Steele +13000
Matt Jones +13000
Lucas Glover +13000
Keith Mitchell +13000
J.J. Spaun +13000
Cameron Davis +13000
Dylan Frittelli +13000
Patton Kizzire +13000
Zach Johnson +13000
Denny McCarthy +13000
Tom Hoge +13000
Doug Ghim +13000
Tyler Duncan +13000
Harry Higgs +13000
Chez Reavie +13000
Adam Schenk +13000
Stewart Cink +13000
Chad Ramey +13000
Camilo Villegas +15000
Michael Thompson +15000
Hank Lebioda +15000
Cameron Young +15000
Russell Knox +15000
Austin Cook +15000
Rory Sabbatini +15000
Taylor Pendrith +15000
Matthew NeSmith +15000
Wyndham Clark +15000
Stephan Jaeger +15000
Andrew Landry +15000
Scott Stallings +15000
Davis Riley +15000
Nick Hardy +15000
Vincent Whaley +15000
Peter Uihlein +18000
Jim Herman +18000
Kiradech Aphibarnrat +18000
Kyle Stanley +18000
Sahith Theegala +18000
John Huh +18000
Kramer Hickok +18000
Hudson Swafford +18000
Vaughn Taylor +20000
Roger Sloan +20000
Andrew Putnam +20000
Seth Reeves +20000
Graeme McDowell +20000
Sepp Straka +20000
Lee Hodges +20000
Brice Garnett +20000
Kevin Tway +20000
David Lipsky +25000
Chesson Hadley +25000
Kurt Kitayama +25000
Kelly Kraft +25000
Andrew Novak +25000
Justin Lower +25000
Anirban Lahiri +25000
Sam Ryder +25000
Curtis Thompson +25000
Bronson Burgoon +25000
Max McGreevy +25000
Ben Kohles +25000
Brandt Snedeker +25000
J.T. Poston +25000
Dylan Wu +25000
Nate Lashley +25000
Brian Gay +30000
Richy Werenski +30000
Sunghoon Kang +30000
Brandon Hagy +30000
Nick Watney +30000
Jimmy Walker +30000
Dawie Van Der Walt +30000
Luke Donald +30000
Peter Malnati +30000
Doc Redman +30000
Paul Barjon +30000
Martin Trainer +30000
William McGirt +30000
Joseph Bramlett +30000
Bill Haas +30000
Scott Gutschewski +30000
Jonathan Byrd +30000
Chris Stroud +30000
Adam Svensson +30000
David Skinns +30000
Trey Mullinax +30000
Joshua Creel +30000
Callum Tarren +30000
Brandon Wu +30000
Tyler McCumber +40000
Ben Crane +40000
Davis Thompson +40000
Brett Drewitt +40000
Noh Seung-yul +40000
Michael Gligic +40000
Austin Smotherman +40000
Jonas Blixt +50000
Jared Wolfe +50000
Davis Love III +100000
J.P Griffin +100000

The Courses

The RSM Classic will use a pair of courses at Sea Island for the first two days — the Par 70 Seaside course and the Par 72 Plantation course. Both measure slightly over 7,000 yards.

Neither course is particularly difficult, and we’ll probably get a winner in the 20-under range unless the wind picks up. We usually see a similar type winner here as we do with other shorter, coastal tracks.

As mentioned, we’ll be targeting guys who can keep it in play off the tee, are good with the wedges and have a good track record putting on Bermuda.

With the two-course set up, it’s not a bad idea to target the Plantation course for first round leader bets if you can find them. The two extra par 5s will give you an edge here, although rounds of 61 or 62 are definitely in play on Seaside if the wind is down.

Many books won’t list FRL odds when the opening round is played on multiple courses, but if you dig around, you’ll probably find someone who offers it.

The Favorites

Scottie Scheffler opens at the top of the board, checking in at +1000. He’s been in good form, but he let a good chance in Houston slip away on Sunday.

Webb Simpson is next at +1200 and is the prototype for players who have success here. He’s finished inside the top 10 three times, including a playoff loss in 2019.

Cameron Smith (+1400) and Louis Oosthuizen (+1600) close out the top of the board. Smith is another strong wedge player who can get hot with the putter. Oosthuizen doesn’t play here much and missed the cut in his only start last year.

Bet Russell Henley at FanDuel and get a $1,000 risk-free bet.

The Mid-Tier

I’ll open in this range with Russell Henley at +3100 on FanDuel. Henley is the top player on the board for me this week. Bermuda is by far his best putting surface, and the irons have been in solid shape for about five months now. He’s also one of many players with strong local ties after being born in Georgia and attending UGA.

We’ll take a shot on Joel Dahmen at +6600 on BetMGM. Dahmen played well in Houston last week, finishing fifth while gaining over eight strokes with his ball striking. He’s still looking for a good result here though. He’s never finished inside the top 25, but his game should be a good fit.

Bet Joel Dahmen at BetMGM and get a risk-free bet up to $1,000.

The Longshots

I’ll go with Taylor Moore next at 120/1 on FanDuel. Moore was one of the most consistent Korn Ferry players in 2021. He’s still looking to get settled on the PGA Tour, but does have two top 25s in four starts this fall. He’s a solid, all-around player who doesn’t rely too heavily on an aspect of his game. A shorter course will hopefully allow his usually solid wedge game to go to work.

We’ll try Denny McCarthy one more time at 130/1 on DraftKings. McCarthy had a great ball striking week at Mayakoba, and the short game was completely dialed in for Houston, resulting in a couple of top 20s. It’s about time for both of those aspects to line up for a week, and this is the type of course where he could ride that normally strong putting stroke to a solid result.

Bet Denny McCarthy at DraftKings and get a $1,000 sign-up bonus.

Next will be Adam Hadwin at 140/1 on FanDuel. He’s definitely a better player than the odds would suggest. He was sixth this fall in Las Vegas and had two solid ball striking weeks in Bermuda and Mexico leading in. He’s another player who hasn’t put up a good finish here, but the style of play should suit him.

I’ll close here with Nick Hardy at 170/1 on FanDuel. Hardy was in the same mold as Moore on the Korn Ferry Tour last season. He doesn’t really have too many holes in his game, so on courses like this where bombers don’t have a big edge, he’s capable of playing well.

The RSM Card

  • Russell Henley +3100 (1.06 units)
  • Joel Dahmen +6600 (.5 units)
  • Taylor Moore +12000 (.28 units)
  • Denny McCarthy +13000 (.25 units)
  • Adam Hadwin +14000 (.24 units)
  • Nick Hardy +17000 (.19 units)

Total Stake: 2.52 units

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