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2022 Cadence Bank Houston Open Updated Odds & Expert Picks: 6 Best Bets for Jason Day, Denny McCarthy, Taylor Montgomery & More

2022 Cadence Bank Houston Open Updated Odds & Expert Picks: 6 Best Bets for Jason Day, Denny McCarthy, Taylor Montgomery & More article feature image

Cliff Hawkins/Getty Images. Pictured: Jason Day

  • The PGA TOUR heads to Texas for the Cadence Bank Houston Open.
  • Our experts have six best bets, and two of them are targeting the same former No. 1 player in the world.
  • Check out their picks and analysis below.
Click arrow to expand 2022 Cadence Bank Houston Open odds via BetMGM
Player NameOdds
Scottie Scheffler+600
Sam Burns+1400
Aaron Wise+1800
Tony Finau+1800
Hideki Matsuyama+2500
Maverick McNealy+2500
Russell Henley+2500
Taylor Montgomery+2500
Jason Day+2800
Davis Riley+4000
Denny McCarthy+4000
Joel Dahmen+4000
Sahith Theegala+4000
Alex Noren+5000
Dean Burmester+5000
Emiliano Grillo+5000
Keith Mitchell+5000
Mackenzie Hughes+5000
Matthew NeSmith+5000
Patrick Rodgers+5000
Si Woo Kim+5000
Taylor Pendrith+5000
Andrew Putnam+6000
Adam Hadwin+6600
Adam Long+6600
Brandon Wu+6600
Taylor Moore+6600
Will Gordon+6600
Aaron Rai+6600
Harris English+6600
Lee Hodges+6600
Sebastian Munoz+6600
Sepp Straka+6600
Wyndham Clark+6600
Adam Schenk+8000
Alex Smalley+8000
Brendan Steele+8000
Justin Lower+8000
Luke List+8000
Danny Willett+9000
David Lipsky+9000
Davis Thompson+9000
Martin Laird+9000
Cameron Champ+10000
Charley Hoffman+10000
Francesco Molinari+10000
Gary Woodland+10000
Justin Rose+10000
Justin Suh+10000
Mark Hubbard+10000
Robby Shelton+10000
Russell Knox+10000
Ryan Palmer+10000
Stephan Jaeger+10000
Beau Hossler+12500
David Lingmerth+12500
Dylan Frittelli+12500
Henrik Norlander+12500
Nick Taylor+12500
Ryan Armour+12500
S.H. Kim+12500
Adam Svensson+15000
Ben Griffin+15000
Byeong Hun An+15000
Chesson Hadley+15000
Erik van Rooyen+15000
John Huh+15000
Kevin Streelman+15000
Matt Wallace+15000
Matthias Schwab+15000
Scott Piercy+15000
Trey Mullinax+15000
Zecheng Dou+15000
Austin Smotherman+17500
Robert Streb+17500
Stewart Cink+17500
Austin Cook+20000
Austin Eckroat+20000
Ben Taylor+20000
Callum Tarren+20000
Carl Yuan+20000
Garrick Higgo+20000
James Hahn+20000
Johannes Veerman+20000
Joseph Bramlett+20000
Kramer Hickok+20000
Michael Gligic+20000
MJ Daffue+20000
Doc Redman+25000
Harry Hall+25000
Peter Malnati+25000
Tyler Duncan+25000
Zach Johnson+25000
Ben Martin+30000
Danny Lee+30000
Eric Cole+30000
Kevin Tway+30000
Paul Haley II+30000
Philip Knowles+30000
Chad Ramey+35000
Chris Stroud+35000
Erik Barnes+35000
Kelly Kraft+35000
Nick Watney+35000
Zac Blair+35000
Carson Young+40000
Jimmy Walker+40000
Max McGreevy+40000
Nico Echavarria+40000
Travis Vick+40000
Augusto Nunez+50000
Brandon Matthews+50000
Brent Grant+50000
Cole Hammer+50000
Jim Herman+50000
Kyle Westmoreland+50000
Michael Kim+50000
Richy Werenski+50000
Tyson Alexander+50000
Scott Harrington+50000
Kevin Roy+50000
Seung-Yul Noh+50000
Zack Fischer+50000
Jason Dufner+75000
Ryan Brehm+75000
Tano Goya+75000
Anders Albertson+75000
Ben Kern+100000
Walker Lee+100000
Trevor Werbylo+100000
Lukas Euler+100000
Sean Jacklin+100000

The PGA TOUR returns to the United States this week for the Cadence Bank Houston Open. Three of the top-15 players in the Official World Golf Rankings are in the field this week at Memorial Park Golf Course, including tournament favorite and native Texan Scottie Scheffler, who can regain the top spot in the OWGR with a win.

Our analysts have six best bets, including two outright picks on the same player to return to the winner's circle on TOUR. Check out their picks and analysis below.

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Taylor Pendrith +5000 (BetMGM)

Jason Sobel: It’s certainly possible that one of the top players in this field — Scottie Scheffler (+550), Sam Burns (+1200), Tony Finau (+1600) and to an extent, Aaron Wise (+1600) — will claim this title, as a 19th hole bar bet of, “Would you take these four or the field?” potentially has some merit.

Yes, the oddsmakers have correctly identified the cream of this crop, and while a full fade of these players feels a bit foolish, there exists plenty of value for those who own enough willpower.

I’ll start my card with one of the more underrated drivers around in Pendrith, who currently ranks 11th in total driving. The sturdy Canadian was on a serious roll last summer before being named to the International team for the Presidents Cup.

Pendrith returned from a four-month injury layoff to post five results of 13th or better in his final six starts of the season.

That momentum has quelled a bit here in the fall, with finishes outside of the top 40 in each of his starts, but he’s a player I like over the long term and one with an ability to go low.

This should be a week more for sprinkling outrights as opposed to the single-basket strategy, and I’ll start my sprinkle with Pendrith’s potential.

Denny McCarthy +4000 (BetMGM)

Chris Murphy: The last time we saw Denny McCarthy, he was the low man on the odds board at the Bermuda Championship. While he didn’t come through for his maiden victory, he was right there throughout the week and hit the ball really well. He fell short, finishing T6, but now he comes to another course that should be a nice fit for his game at much more palatable odds.

McCarthy has made the cut in each of his last four trips to Memorial Park, with finishes of T11 and T9 in two of his last three years. He is consistently one of the best putters on TOUR, and Bermudagrass is his favorite putting surface.

This is a week where the flatstick will be the important club in the winner’s bag, and with McCarthy’s combination of solid recent play and putting upside, I love his value at +4000 on BetMGM.

Jason Day +2800 (BetMGM)

Matt Vincenzi: I’ve been on Jason Day for his last few starts, and he’s done nothing that gives me any reason to jump off now. In fact, his play has been quite encouraging. He’s finished T8, T11 and T21 in his past three starts, and seven of his past eight rounds have been in the 60s. His opening round at El Camaleón (73) last week was the outlier and proved to be too much to overcome. He responded by shooting 64, 67 and 66 over the next three rounds.

Day’s betting odds have been slashed this week, and I believe it’s for good reason. Memorial Park should be a much better fit for Day’s skillset, and the winning scores have been -10 and -13 in the two events at the course. The difficult conditions should give the 34-year-old an advantage, especially with his around the green prowess being such a big factor.

In Day’s first start at Memorial Park, he finished in a tie for seventh. The former world No. 1 is finally showing that he’s healthy and can play consistently from week to week. He’s worth one more shot this week in Houston.

Davis Riley -111 Over Mackenzie Hughes (BetMGM)

Spencer Aguiar: Before we get into this play, I want to mention that we only have about a 3% implied probability edge. That means that anything up to -124 would still show value, but it is less than what I typically need for one of these wagers when I release it as my "play of the week."

Honestly, I find this to be an extremely challenging betting board from top to bottom because of overcorrections in the market, but it does feel like a spot where Mackenzie Hughes is getting way too much course history and current form baked into his market projection.

Sure, the recent run needs to be accounted for when we handicap what to expect, but books seem to have overreacted to his current outlook, giving us a chance to grab a golfer at a discount like Davis Riley, who graded as a top-25 candidate in all three iterations of my model.

Hughes' recent iron play could prove to be a problem when we look at his 90th-place mark for Weighted Proximity, and it doesn't help that his Total Driving ranks 102nd in this field when I recalculated the data to fit Memorial Park.

Some users will see the back-to-back top-30 finishes here and instantly think he is safe for another quality effort, but this week's venue has some of the least predictable rollover metrics when we dive into yearly production at the track.

Jason Day +2800 (BetMGM)

Derek Farnsworth: The thought of betting Day at this number a couple of months ago would have been laughable, but after finishes of T8, T11 and T21 in the swing season, here we are. The PGA TOUR veteran seems poised for a nice bounce-back season.

More important than the high finishes are the underlying metrics – he gained 9.8 strokes ball striking at the Shriners and 5.8 strokes ball striking at THE CJ CUP. We don’t have ShotLink data from last week’s event in Mexico, but he was near the top of the field in old school ball striking numbers (total driving + greens in regulation).

Day has always had one of the best short games on TOUR. He has great feel around the greens, and at his peak, he was the best putter in the world. If this recent ball striking is any indication of what we can expect moving forward, it’s likely a matter of when and not if he finds himself back in the winner’s circle.

I like Day on courses with generous fairways, and I like Day on Bermudagrass greens. Memorial Park Golf Course has both of those, and it’s worth noting that day is two-for-two here with a seventh-place finish in 2020.

Taylor Montgomery +2700 (FanDuel)

Landon Silinsky: In his short PGA TOUR career, Taylor Montgomery has finished solo third, T9, T15, T13 and T10 in his five starts. During this stretch, which dates back to the Fortinet Championship in mid-September, he ranks No. 1 in this field in Total Strokes Gained.

A lot of this has to do with his absurd putting, as he ranks No. 1 in SG: Putting in this time frame while gaining more than 0.3 strokes per round more than Maverick McNealy, who ranks second.

So far on the young season, Montgomery ranks No. 1 in Birdie or Better Percentage of anyone with eight or more rounds played. This rookie is a phenom and a scoring machine, and I am done fading him.

His only bugaboo has been his shoddy approach play, but if you’re looking for a silver lining, his last measured round – which was at THE CJ CUP – he gained 2.29 strokes on approach, which was the most he’s ever gained on TOUR thus far.

With the way every other part of his game is clicking, it would shock noone to see him pick up his first career victory at Memorial Park, much like Carlos Ortiz did a couple years back.

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