2022 RSM Classic Updated Odds, Predictions & Sleeper Picks: 5 Longshots to Bet, Including Webb Simpson, Luke List & Kevin Kisner

The RSM Classic Odds

Until Tuesday morning, The RSM Classic, played in Sea Island, Ga., this weekend, this week on the PGA TOUR, had a little bit of juice behind it. Tony Finau, who has won four times in the last year-and-a-half, was the listed favorite, fresh off a victory in Houston last week.

Finau withdrew from the tournament with an injury, leaving a major void at the top of the odds sheet.

Depending on which book you’re using, it’s names like Brian Harman, Jason Day, and Seamus Power listed on top this week.

For the PGA TOUR’s television ratings this week, that is not a good sign. For those of you looking to find a sleeper winner like me, it’s a welcome sight.

With none of the world’s best players in the field, the RSM Classic is ripe for dark-horse champ. These five names have an opportunity to do so.

2022 RSM Classic Picks

Webb Simpson +5000 (BetMGM)

I’m not going to pretend to be a geography expert. Here’s what I do know: Webb Simpson is from Charlotte, N.C. When the PGA TOUR stops in his general neck of the woods, he takes advantage.

Simpson has made 54 starts at the courses that compromise regular TOUR stops in North Carolina, South Carolina and Georgia. In those tournaments, he has 21 top 10s, 34 finishes in the top 20, and a win.

Put this guy on Bermuda grass in the mid-South and he’s comfortable. Here at Sea Island, he has the best strokes gained per round of anyone in this week’s field that has played at least four rounds at the course, per DataGolf.

Kevin Kisner +5000 (BetMGM)

Simpson’s Carolina roots might help this week, but Kisner can match or trump anyone’s claim to this as a hometown advantage. He’s from right up the road in Aiken, S.C., and spent his college days in state as a Georgia Bulldog.

His comfort at Sea Island has been apparent in his starts at this event. In 10 career starts at this venue, Kisner has five top 10s, including a victory at the 2016 edition of the RSM Classic.

He’s played only one official event this season, not counting his stint on the President’s Cup, but finished T72 at the CJ Cup. We can hope he’s well rested and finds his groove.

Harris English +5000 (BetMGM)

Our geography tour ends with another Georgia native, UGA grad and actual Sea Island resident, Harris English.

I’ve been monitoring English for a while as he tries to regain form after dealing with an injury for several months. At his peak, he was a top-15 player in the world and a Ryder Cupper. After the injury, his stock plummeted.

This fall, he’s starting to look like himself again. So far, that has meant making five of six cuts, but only one top 10. Sooner than later, he’s going to compete at the tops of leaderboards again, even if he never reaches his high-water mark again. Nab him at these odds while you still can.

Luke List +13000 (DraftKings)

I’m a sucker for List as a high variance play, especially against weaker fields. Over the last 12 months, List leads the players in this week’s field in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green, thanks to the third-best mark off the tee and the fifth-best via approach shots.

Why do his results not look like someone hitting the ball that well? Because he ranks 53rd around greens and 148th in putting, in a 155-man field.

If he can find some cups with his flat stick one of these weeks, he’ll rocket up a leaderboard. We saw that last year when he won the Farmers at Torrey Pines.

He’s done well at Sea Island as well, with three finishes of T13 or better. Other books seem to weigh that more highly, with PointsBet and BetMGM offering him at just +8000.

Cole Hammer +50000 (BetMGM)

Every fall series event with a lesser field is liable for a mega-upset, with rookies and young players looking for their footing as the prime candidates to nab the unexpected win.

This week, let’s put the lottery ticket on Hammer, a highly touted 23-year-old out of the University of Texas. Fresh off the Longhorns winning the 2022 NCAA Championship, Hammer turned pro and has been fighting for starts and status.

When he has played, he’s held his own. He had a T7 and a T19 on the Korn Ferry Tour last year and posted his best PGA TOUR finish last week, a T27 in Houston.

Hammer has a big-time game and will make waves eventually. Why not now?

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