Updated Scottish Open 2022 Odds, Best Bets: 5 Picks for Cameron Smith, Will Zalatoris, More

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Welcome to the first ever Best Bets for the Scottish Open.

This is the first year that the tournament is part of both the PGA TOUR and DP World Tour, serving as the ultimate major tuneup. With the Open Championship right around the corner, this is many players’ first taste of links golf. It’s going to be a hugely competitive one.

Fourteen of the top-15 players in the world will be in the field at Renaissance Club, which is just east of Edinburgh. This will be the fourth time the tournament will be at this course, and the first three have all finished in a playoff.

Some of golf’s biggest names have strong results at the Scottish Open, with Jon Rahm, Scottie Scheffler and Xander Schauffele all finishing in the top 10 last year. The last player to win this tournament and then win the Claret Jug the following week was Phil Mickelson in 2013, although that isn’t a regular occurrence.

Our team of golf betting analysts have broken down who has the tools to succeed this week while also providing good value for bettors. Check out their favorite picks below.

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2022 Scottish Open Best Bets

Alexander Bjork — Top 30 (+500)

Chris Murphy: There is something about Alexander Bjork’s game that has me turning his way in DFS and betting every time we get overseas.

Bjork always falls in a value range that can allow me to play him in lower tiers and get some good numbers. This week, he is set at +28000 to win on FanDuel, and it carries across all of the placement positions. I don’t really see a win in play for the Swede since he only has one in his 13-year professional career, but it’s not crazy to think that the others finishing position bets can be in play.

Bjork ranks sixth on the DP World Tour in par-3 scoring and there are five of those in play at Renaissance Club, so it’s easy to see why he has made all three cuts at this event and posted top-30s in each of the last two. He has posted top-25 finishes in four of his last five tournaments, showing to be in good form with his game.

This will certainly be a step up in competition, but I’m going to buy on the course history and form at good numbers up and down the board for Alexander Bjork.

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Cameron Smith +2800

Matt Vincenzi: Smith is coming off of a missed cut at this year's U.S. Open, which is giving us a bit of a discount for this week's Scottish Open. The missed cut was disappointing, but there wasn't anything statistically that would make me believe the Australian can't bounce back quickly.

On paper, Renaissance Club should be a perfect fit for Smith. I believe that golfers can get away with being a bit wayward off the tee this week, which is usually the part of his game that can get the 28-year-old into trouble. Smith ranks first in the field in his past 24 rounds in Birdie or Better: Gained. With the scores likely approaching 20-under this week depending on the weather, his ability to pile up birdies will be a major asset.

Smith has seven career wins on the PGA TOUR and DP World TOUR combined. He carries a great deal of win equity at a discounted price. If he has a bounce back week with the irons, he will be tough to beat at this golf course. You can get Smith at 28-1 at BetMGM, BetRivers or WynnBet.

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Tommy Fleetwood +5000

Derek Farnsworth: Fleetwood — aka Fleetgod, aka Tommy Long Locks — is my pick to win this week.

I have long been a proponent of betting him and using him in DFS anytime he’s not teeing it up on U.S. soil. And to his credit, he’s actually played quite well on the PGA TOUR this season. He’s always been known as a good total driver of the ball and as a good iron player, but he’s quietly ninth on tour in Strokes Gained: Around the Green and 37th in Strokes Gained: Putting. This is a more well-rounded Fleetwood than we’ve seen in the past.

Much like Tony Finau and Xander Schauffele, Fleetwood gets unfairly labeled as a contender that can’t close the door. However, those narratives only exist until they don’t. Finau won the BMW Championship last fall and Schauffele is coming off of a win at the Travelers Championship. More importantly, Fleetwood has five career wins on the DP World Tour. He loves links golf and has finished T26 and second at the Renaissance Club the last two years.

Fleetwood’s best number this week is at BetMGM.

Will Zalatoris +2800

Joshua Perry: This has been a course where iron players have stood out, and his have been as good as anyone's the past year. He played fine here last year, finishing 26th, and the form wasn't nearly at the level he's riding this year. He's finished sixth or better in six of his last eight starts.

The best number on Zalatoris this week is 28-1 at Caesars, as of Tuesday night.

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Will Zalatoris +2800

Bryan Berryman: With the winds forecasted to be somewhat tame (as of writing), there’s a good chance this event can turn into a birdie fest. I’m targeting elite iron players who can pile up birdies in this stacked field.

There is no better fit than Zalatoris, who over the last 24 rounds ranks top 10 in this field in both strokes gained approach and birdie or better percentage.

With three top-5 finishes in his last four starts, Zalatoris is undoubtedly primed for a win. The consistency of his ball striking should allow him plenty of birdie opportunities to keep pace in what should be an exciting week in Scotland. My money is on Zalatoris to win the Scottish Open.