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2022 Sony Open Odds, Longshot Bets: 4 Dark Horse Picks Headlined by Charles Howell

2022 Sony Open Odds, Longshot Bets: 4 Dark Horse Picks Headlined by Charles Howell article feature image

Meg Oliphant/Getty Images. Pictured: Charles Howell III.

Click for Sony Open odds, as of Monday afternoon via FanDuel.
Cameron Smith+850
Webb Simpson+1500
Sungjae Im+1700
Hideki Matsuyama+1700
Marc Leishman+2200
Kevin Na+2900
Corey Conners+2900
Abraham Ancer+3200
Harris English+3200
Talor Gooch+3600
Kevin Kisner+3600
Matt Jones+3600
Russell Henley+4200
Jason Kokrak+4600
Cameron Davis+4600
Billy Horschel+4600
Seamus Power+4600
Christiaan Bezuidenhout+4600
Si Woo Kim+4600
Erik van Rooyen+5500
Maverick McNealy+5500
Chris Kirk+5500
Brian Harman+5500
Brendan Steele+5500
Keith Mitchell+5500
Ryan Palmer+7500
Charles Howell III+7500
Brendon Todd+7500
Joel Dahmen+7500
Denny McCarthy+7500
Branden Grace+7500
Takumi Kanaya+8000
Keegan Bradley+8000
Matt Kuchar+8000
Tom Hoge+9000
Patton Kizzire+9000
Chez Reavie+9000
Aaron Rai+9000
Stewart Cink+9000
Emiliano Grillo+9000
Robert Streb+12000
Brian Stuard+12000
Zach Johnson+12000
Adam Long+12000
Henrik Norlander+12000
Rory Sabbatini+16000
Keita Nakajima+16000
Michael Thompson+16000
Troy Merritt+16000
K.H. Lee+16000
Brandt Snedeker+16000
Pat Perez+16000
Chad Ramey+16000
Alex Smalley+16000
Hank Lebioda+16000
Max McGreevy+16000
Hayden Buckley+16000
Taylor Pendrith+16000
Tyler Duncan+16000
John Huh+16000
Graeme McDowell+16000
Hudson Swafford+16000
Scott Piercy+16000
Harry Higgs+16000
Ryan Armour+16000
Kramer Hickok+19000
Nick Hardy+19000
J.J. Spaun+19000
Mark Hubbard+19000
Stepan Jaeger+19000
Sahith Theegala+19000
Greyson Sigg+19000
Ryan Moore+19000
Rikuya Hoshino+19000
Adam Schenk+19000
Kyle Stanley+19000
Lucas Glover+19000
Andrew Putnam+19000
Brandon Wu+19000
Davis Riley+21000
Cameron Young+28000
Sung-Hoon Kang+28000
Nate Lashley+28000
David Lipsky+28000
Chan Kim+28000
Roger Sloan+28000
Jim Furyk+28000
J.T. Poston+28000
Kevin Tway+28000
Peter Malnati+28000
Sepp Straka+28000
Chase Seiffert+28000
Camilo Villegas+28000
Hao Tong Li+35000
Dylan Wu+35000
Lee Hodges+35000
Austin Cook+35000
Beau Hossler+35000
Jimmy Walker+35000
Brian Gay+43000
Satoshi Kodaira+43000
Joseph Bramlett+43000
Chesson Hadley+43000
Justin Lower+43000
Seth Reeves+43000
Jim Knous+43000
Richy Werenski+43000
Trey Mullinax+43000
Andrew Novak+43000
Jim Herman+43000
Sam Ryder+43000
Kurt Kitayama+43000
Wesley Bryan+43000
Luke Donald+43000
Adam Svensson+43000
Ben Kohles+55000
Dawie van der Walt+55000
Martin Trainer+55000
David Skinns+55000
Austin Smotherman+55000
Scott Gutschewski+55000
Jerry Kelly+55000
Kevin Chappell+55000
Kelly Kraft+55000
Bill Haas+65000
Curtis Thompson+65000
Paul Barjon+65000
William McGirt+65000
Callum Tarren+65000
Jared Wolfe+65000
Michael Gligic+65000
Brett Drewitt+65000
Joshua Creel+65000
Peter Jung+100000
Garrett Okamura+100000
Parker McLachlin+100000
Kevin Carll+100000
Bet the Sony Open at PointsBetand get $250 FREE.

The PGA TOUR is back in business after the wild week of low, low scores at the Sentry Tournament of Champions. The first full-field event of the 2022 calendar year will remain on the Hawaiian islands, shifting to Honolulu for the Sony Open at Waialae Country Club.

A full field, rather than the much smaller group of golfers invited to last weekend’s winners only event at Kapalua, should be a sight for the sore eyes of golf bettors. Not only are many of the world’s best golfers back this week to tee it up, but a host of long shots and underdogs are ready to make a run.

Diving deeper into this week’s field, there are some very attractive long shots with a real chance to contend this weekend, including some players with a rich history of success at Waialae.

Charles Howell III +7500 (FanDuel)

The analysts at Data Golf have run through every number under the sun. For something to truly stand out in their models, it means something.

No player on TOUR receives a higher adjustment in their models for a particular course than Charles Howell III receives at Waialae Country Club. Not even Tiger Woods at any of his favorite spots.

Our biggest course history adjustment for any player/course combination is Charles Howell III at Waialae: +0.5 strokes!

CH3 has played 68 rounds here since 2004, averaging 1.2 strokes per round better than expected (based on overall skill + course fit).

— data golf (@DataGolf) January 10, 2022

Howell has been playing like his old self lately, too. It’s a small sample size that is taken from his last three events — with many top players sitting out recent events — but Howell is in the top 15 in the world in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee and Around the Green over the last three months.

I don’t know if Howell’s game is currently built to win this week and cash at +7500, but he seems like a no-brainer to bet in top-10 or top-20 markets, or as a daily fantasy play.

Bet Charles Howell at FanDuel and get a $1,000 risk-free bet.

Chris Kirk +9000 (bet365)

This has always been a strong event for Chris Kirk, with top-10 finishes in 2013, 2014, 2018 and a T2 finish just last year. He’s gained 1.2 true strokes per round on the field, according to Data Golf, 10th-best among players in this week’s field.

Kirk didn’t play his best golf to end the 2021 season, as he’s without a top 10 since April. Hopefully, the return to a comfortable course where he has succeeded in the past can kick start his game back to a winning level.

According to Strokes Gained data, Kirk has been a top-20 player around the green over the last 12 months. At a course where he feels comfortable, that is reason to like his chances.

Bet Kirk & Kizzire at bet365 and get $500 in bet credits.

Patton Kizzire +11000 (bet365)

Something about the Hawaiian breeze in his face must spark Patton Kizzire’s golf game. He’s played this event four times, with three finishes in the top 12, including a win back in 2018. His only slip up at this event, a missed cut in 2019, came thanks to Kizzire losing 1.83 strokes per round off the tee, which put him fourth-worst in that field.

Kizzire’s play around and on the green has always been strong at this venue, suggesting he’s comfortable at Waialae. He ranks fourth in this week’s field in True Strokes Gained at this course and in True Strokes Gained vs. expectations.

Kizzire has the kind of game that provides bettors with “trick or treat” results each week. In 28 starts in the 2021 calendar year, he missed nine cuts and registered five finishes of T11 or better.

Brian Stuard +13000 (DraftKings)

Any long shot of this magnitude is going to have some red flags attached. Stuard is currently ranked 262nd in the world, his lowest ranking since June 2019. He hasn’t won on the PGA Tour since ’16 and has just one finish in the top three of an event since that win.

But beyond those red flags, there’s reasons to like Stuard’s chances this week. In his last nine starts here at Waialae, he has eight made cuts and four top-10 finishes. Some of that is ancient history. A T5 at this course in 2013 feels like a lifetime ago, but for the pros on TOUR, that experience at a venue matters.

If there’s any course where Stuard can find some magic and compete, it’s here at the Sony. He’s worth a nibble as a long shot.

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