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U.S. Open 2022 Odds & Expert Picks: 3 Betting Targets, Including Max Homa

U.S. Open 2022 Odds & Expert Picks: 3 Betting Targets, Including Max Homa article feature image

Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images. Pictured: Max Homa

  • Rory McIlroy is the betting favorite for 2022's third major, the U.S. Open.
  • Joshua Perry is targeting some players just below the betting favorites on the odds board this week.
  • Check out his tournament breakdown and betting targets below.
Click arrow to expand 2022 U.S. Open odds via PointsBet

2022 U.S. Open Odds

Rory McIlroy+1000
Justin Thomas+1100
Scottie Scheffler+1300
Jon Rahm+1400
Cameron Smith+2200
Jordan Spieth+2200
Patrick Cantlay+2200
Xander Schauffele+2200
Collin Morikawa+2500
Matthew Fitzpatrick+2500
Sam Burns+2500
Will Zalatoris+2500
Shane Lowry+2800
Viktor Hovland+2800
Joaquin Niemann+3300
Tony Finau+3300
Billy Horschel+4000
Brooks Koepka+4000
Cameron Young+4000
Daniel Berger+4000
Dustin Johnson+4000
Hideki Matsuyama+4000
Im Sung-jae+4000
Max Homa+4000
Corey Conners+5000
Mito Guillermo Pereira+5000
Tommy Fleetwood+5000
Justin Rose+6000
Davis Riley+6600
Louis Oosthuizen+6600
Aaron Wise+7000
Abraham Ancer+7000
Tyrrell Hatton+7000
Harold Varner III+8000
Keegan Bradley+8000
Patrick Reed+8000
Talor Gooch+8000
Webb Simpson+8000
Bryson DeChambeau+9000
Adam Scott+10000
Jason Kokrak+10000
Seamus Power+10000
Brian Harman+12500
Gary Woodland+12500
Marc Leishman+12500
Russell Henley+12500
Sebastian Munoz+12500
Sergio Garcia+12500
Si Woo Kim+12500
Adam Hadwin+15000
Alexander Noren+15000
Francesco Molinari+15000
Harris English+15000
Kevin Na+15000
Kyoung-Hoon Lee+15000
Luke List+15000
Thomas Pieters+15000
Tom Hoge+15000
Branden Grace+20000
Cameron Tringale+20000
Denny McCarthy+20000
Kevin Kisner+20000
Lanto Griffin+20000
Lucas Herbert+20000
Mackenzie Hughes+20000
Phil Mickelson+20000
Sam Horsfield+20000
Victor Perez+20000
Adri Arnaus+25000
Erik Van Rooyen+25000
Joel Dahmen+25000
Matthew NeSmith+25000
Patrick Rodgers+25000
Ryan Fox+25000
Scott Stallings+25000
Sepp Straka+25000
Stewart Cink+25000
Wyndham Clark+25000
Beau Hossler+30000
Joo-Hyung Kim+30000
Kurt Kitayama+30000
Min Woo Lee+30000
Nick Taylor+30000
Thorbjorn Olesen+30000
Troy Merritt+30000
Danny Lee+35000
Adam Schenk+40000
Guido Migliozzi+40000
Joseph Bramlett+40000
Kalle Samooja+40000
Kevin Chappell+40000
M. J. Daffue+40000
Marcel Schneider+40000
Nick Hardy+40000
Richard Mansell+40000
Rikuya Hoshino+40000
Sean Crocker+40000
Shaun Norris+40000
Taylor Montgomery+40000
Wil Besseling+40000
Adrien Dumont de Chassart+50000
Andrew Beckler+50000
Andrew D. Putnam+50000
Andrew Novak+50000
Austin Greaser+50000
Ben Lorenz+50000
Benjamin Silverman+50000
Bo Hoag+50000
Brady Calkins+50000
Brandon Matthews+50000
Brian Stuard+50000
Caleb Manuel+50000
Callum Tarren+50000
Chan Kim+50000
Charles Reiter+50000
Chase Seiffert+50000
Chris Naegel+50000
Christopher Gotterup+50000
Daijiro Izumida+50000
David Lingmerth+50000
Davis Shore+50000
Erik Barnes+50000
Fran Quinn+50000
Fred Biondi+50000
Grayson Murray+50000
Harry Hall+50000
Hayden Buckley+50000
Isaiah Salinda+50000
James Piot+50000
Jediah Morgan+50000
Jesse Mueller+50000
Jinichiro Kozuma+50000
Jonas Blixt+50000
Keita Nakajima+50000
Keith Greene+50000
Laird Shepherd+50000
Luke Gannon+50000
Matt McCarty+50000
Maxwell Moldovan+50000
Michael Thorbjornsen+50000
Nicholas Dunlap+50000
Richard Bland+50000
Roger Sloan+50000
Ryan Gerard+50000
Sam Bennett+50000
Sam Stevens+50000
Satoshi Kodaira+50000
Sean Jacklin+50000
Sebastian Soderberg+50000
Stewart Hagestad+50000
Todd Sinnott+50000
Tomoyasu Sugiyama+50000
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With the big names at the top of the board in Canada, it was never going to be my week there. Rory McIlroy ended up defending his title as the favorite.

Now we’ll head off to the third major of the year: the U.S. Open.

As with many of the majors, most of my bets are in pretty early during the year. I then just hope the form carries over and the injury bug stays away.

But we’ll take a fresh look at the odds this week and see which players still have some value coming in.

The Course

The Country Club in Brookline is expected to offer a tough test, as is the norm with the USGA. It’s set to play over 7,200 yards for a Par 70. It’s a little shorter than some of the behemoths we’ve seen in the past for this event, which could keep guys without the ability to bomb it off the tee in play this week.

The rough is expected to be the main defense this week — along with small greens — so it’s likely not to be just a straight forward bomb-and-gouge event, as we’ve seen a few times in the past. Players will definitely have to be in control both off the tee and with the irons.

It’s not a course we’ve seen often. It hasn’t held the U.S. Open since 1988.

Most recently, the 2013 U.S. Amateur was held here and won by Matthew Fitzpatrick. Corey Conners reached the semifinals that week, and Scottie Scheffler advanced to the quarterfinals. Xander Schauffele and Bryson DeChambeau also played well enough to advance out of stroke play and win a match.

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The Favorites

Four names have separated themselves from the pack at the top of the board. McIlroy is set to go off as the favorite (+1000) after his win last week. He’s been inside the top 10 in four of his five events dating back to the Masters, with no finish worse than 18th.

Justin Thomas is right behind him at +1200. Thomas had the missed cut following his win at the PGA, but has been inside the top five two other times since the start of May.

Jon Rahm and Scheffler close out this upper tier at +1400.

We haven’t seen a whole lot of Rahm recently. He hasn’t played back-to-back weeks since March. He got the win in Mexico, but his game just looks slightly off at times, which has kept him from adding an extra victory or two this year.

Everyone knows what Scheffler has been doing this season. He’s looked mortal since his Masters win, though, really only contending once in his last five starts, including his playoff loss at Colonial.

But that being said, he’s still been inside the top 20 in four of those five events, with a missed cut coming at the PGA on the bad end of a weather draw.

We see a large group of players make up the +2000s, including Schauffele, Jordan Spieth, Cameron Smith, Fitzpatrick, Patrick Cantlay and Collin Morikawa.

Smith and Fitzpatrick were added early in the year, and I really wouldn’t jump in at this range now.

Of the group, Cantlay gets the most attention from me. He’s available at +2500 pretty much everywhere. I don’t know how popular he’ll be since he burned so many people at the PGA, but besides that missed cut, he’s finished top-three in his last three starts.

The +2500 number is pretty widely available, so it’s one that you can be patient with and see if it drifts later in the week.

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The Mid Tier

My focus here will be on three players: Max Homa, Sungjae Im and Daniel Berger. All three are probably going to be popular plays, so I doubt there will be much drift during the week.

Homa was mentioned in our first click post. He just continues to string solid results together. He’s still available at +5000 on BetMGM. He has the all-around game to be successful here, and his game has been improving in majors as well, marked by a 13th last month at the PGA.

Berger is another guy I like at +5000, as well. He’s coming off a fifth-place finish at the Memorial, so his game is heading in the right direction.

He’s also had some success with past USGA set ups, finishing inside the top 10 twice at the U.S. Open.

Berger is a guy I tend to shy away from when distance trumps everything, but I don’t think this will be one of those majors.

Im is the last one here at +4000, and he was a guy I played at a much bigger number a few months ago. He’s still not too bad in this range. He’s been inside the top 25 his last five starts, and his ball-striking has really been what has carried him in recent weeks.

The Longshots

This really isn’t an event to dig too deep for a winner. We’d have to go back over a decade to Lucas Glover in 2009 to find a player that was triple digits heading into the week. The cream usually rises to the top here.

If you want to deep dive for some top-20 or 40 type plays, I’d look at a couple of guys playing up from the Korn Ferry Tour. MJ Daffue and Taylor Montgomery both made it through qualifying and have done enough this season to lock up PGA TOUR cards in the fall. Their form is solid.

Montgomery made the cut last year and finished 57th, as well. The name recognition isn’t there and you’ll likely find some solid prices on them, but they’ve both played very good golf for a few months now. Making a cut and having a decent weekend is possible for both.

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