2022 Waste Management Open Odds & 3 Picks for Corey Conners, Russell Henley, More

2022 Waste Management Open Odds & 3 Picks for Corey Conners, Russell Henley, More article feature image

Sam Greenwood/Getty Images. Pictured: Corey Conners

  • Fourteen of the top-20 players in the world are at this week's Waste Management Open at TPC Scottsdale.
  • Jon Rahm is the favorite, with Justin Thomas and Patrick Cantlay not far behind.
  • Joshua Perry looks a little further down the odds board for his three picks this week.
Click here for full Waste Management Open odds from BetMGM
Jon Rahm+750
Justin Thomas+1200
Patrick Cantlay+1400
Hideki Matsuyama+1600
Viktor Hovland+1600
Jordan Spieth+2000
Xander Schauffele+2200
Daniel Berger+2500
Scottie Scheffler+2500
Brooks Koepka+3300
Sam Burns+3300
Bubba Watson+4000
Louis Oosthuizen+4000
Russell Henley+4000
Seamus Power+4000
Tony Finau+4000
Webb Simpson+4000
Matt Fitzpatrick+4000
Abraham Ancer+5000
Adam Scott+5000
Corey Conners+5000
Harold Varner III+5000
Luke List+5000
Billy Horschel+5000
Tom Hoge+5000
Talor Gooch+6600
Harris English+6600
Max Homa+6600
Keith Mitchell+6600
Andrew Putnam+8000
Denny McCarthy+8000
Joel Dahmen+8000
Kevin Kisner+8000
Matt Kuchar+8000
Pat Perez+8000
Rickie Fowler+8000
Si Woo Kim+8000
Aaron Wise+8000
Gary Woodland+8000
Russell Knox+8000
Charles Howell III+10000
Keegan Bradley+10000
Brian Harman+10000
Adam Hadwin+12500
Alex Noren+12500
Branden Grace+12500
Brendon Todd+12500
Chris Kirk+12500
Dylan Frittelli+12500
Francesco Molinari+12500
K.H. Lee+12500
Lucas Herbert+12500
Michael Thompson+12500
Mito Pereira+12500
Nate Lashley+12500
Nick Taylor+12500
Troy Merritt+12500
Cam Davis+15000
Carlos Ortiz+15000
Charley Hoffman+15000
Chez Reavie+15000
Garrick Higgo+15000
Hudson Swafford+15000
Lucas Glover+15000
Martin Laird+15000
Matt Jones+15000
Matthew NeSmith+15000
Patrick Rodgers+15000
Patton Kizzire+15000
Sahith Theegala+15000
Scott Stallings+15000
Sepp Straka+15000
Wyndham Clark+15000
Zach Johnson+15000
Beau Hossler+15000
Brendan Steele+15000
Doug Ghim+15000
Kevin Streelman+15000
Matt Wallace+15000
Sebastian Munoz+15000
Stewart Cink+15000
Brandt Snedeker+20000
Joseph Bramlett+20000
Kramer Hickok+20000
Scott Piercy+20000
Emiliano Grillo+20000
Harry Higgs+20000
James Hahn+20000
Ryan Moore+20000
Adam Long+25000
Danny Lee+25000
Hank Lebioda+25000
Henrik Norlander+25000
J.T. Poston+25000
Kyle Stanley+25000
Roger Sloan+25000
Jonathan Byrd+25000
Adam Schenk+30000
Austin Eckroat+30000
C.T. Pan+30000
Graeme McDowell+30000
Jimmy Walker+30000
Robert Streb+30000
Rory Sabbatini+30000
Stephan Jaeger+30000
Sung Kang+30000
Tyler Duncan+30000
Brandon Hagy+35000
Brian Stuard+35000
Jason Dufner+35000
Kelly Kraft+35000
Kevin Tway+35000
Peter Malnati+35000
Anirban Lahiri+40000
Brice Garnett+40000
Kevin Chappell+40000
Luke Donald+40000
Sam Ryder+40000
Seung-Yul Noh+40000
Tyler McCumber+40000
Wesley Bryan+40000
Bill Haas+50000
Brian Gay+50000
Chesson Hadley+50000
Nick Watney+50000
William McGirt+50000
Ben Silverman+50000
Martin Trainer+75000
Preston Summerhays+75000
Jeffrey Kang+75000
Craig Hocknull+100000
Etienne Papineau+100000

Nothing much to report from Pebble Beach. We were never really in it with either Tom Hoge or Jordan Spieth.

Now we'll move on to chaos at the Waste Management Phoenix Open, where the fans will be back in full force this year.

Bet the Waste Management Open at BetMGM and get a risk-free bet up to $1,000.

The Course

TPC Scottsdale measures 7,266 yards for a par 71, and really isn’t all that difficult. We can expect the winning score to be around 17-under par unless weather plays a factor.

Another thing to keep in mind is that there tends to be a lot of movement on the leaderboard over the last four holes. There is water in play on No. 15 (a reachable Par 5) and No. 17 (a drive-able Par 4), plus the closing hole is quite difficult so there can be a lot of volatility down the stretch.

TPC Scottsdale tends to favor good iron players. Webb Simpson, Rickie Fowler, Gary Woodland, Hideki Matsuyama and Brooks Koepka all have victories here and each of them are terrific with their approach shot.

The Favorites

It's a strong field this week led again by Jon Rahm. Books seem to just copy and paste him in at around +700 each week. He hasn't won here, but he probably will one day. He hasn't finished worse than 16th in six starts, so the course suits him.

Justin Thomas is next at +1200. He's got a couple of thirds on the resume here, so again, another guy who fits the course but just hasn't won here.

Patrick Cantlay, Hideki Matsuyama and Viktor Hovland make up the +1400-1800 range. Cantlay has never player here and Hovland missed the cut in his only start. Matsuyama has one of the better resumes here with two wins, but since then, his best result in the last four years is 15th.

Jordan Spieth, Brooks Koepka, Xander Schauffele and Daniel Berger close out this range and of the group, Berger drew the most attention for me. If I knew the back was good to go, he'd be a bet at +2800-3000. But I can't play him at the price with the injury questions.

Bet Corey Conners at PointsBet and get $250 FREE.

The Mid-Tier

This is always one of the tougher betting events for me because it's a place where the stars really do come out on top. Only once in the last decade has a winner been longer than +4000. And with the guy I like in that range fresh off a pre-tournament withdraw, it's pushed me outside of that range.

I'll start here with Corey Conners at +5000 on PointsBet. Conners was on my card here last year and played fine, finishing 17th. He's coming off two MCs at events that don't really fit him, but he played well in Hawaii at the last course that suited him, so we'll go back to him here.

I'm also going to Russell Henley at +5500 on bet365. Henley should fit better here than he's shown. It might be the environment isn't up to his liking, but he keeps coming every year. The form is great with a second at the Sony and 14th at the AmEx. The ballstriking has been in good shape for months now, so whenever he's putted well he's put up good results. Again, the history isn't ideal, but he's been inside the top 20 twice, so he's capable of playing well here.

Bet at Caesars and get a $5,000 risk-free first bet.

The Longshots

This hasn't been a place for triple digits, but I'll try one play here with Russell Knox at 150/1 on DraftKings. Knox isn't long off the tee, but he keeps the ball in play and out of the desert. He's usually around field average with the driver, but has gained strokes here in five of his six starts.

He's been in a good run of form with the irons as well, only losing strokes once in four months, and that was just the one record round for the AmEx where he missed the cut.

The WMPO Card

  • Corey Conners +5000 (.66 units)
  • Russell Henley +5500 (.6 units)
  • Russell Knox +15000 (.22 units)

Total Stake: 1.48 units

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