2022 Waste Management Open Odds & 3 Picks for Corey Conners, Russell Henley, More
Sam Greenwood/Getty Images. Pictured: Corey Conners
- Fourteen of the top-20 players in the world are at this week's Waste Management Open at TPC Scottsdale.
- Jon Rahm is the favorite, with Justin Thomas and Patrick Cantlay not far behind.
- Joshua Perry looks a little further down the odds board for his three picks this week.
Click here for full Waste Management Open odds from BetMGM
|Harold Varner III||+5000|
|Si Woo Kim||+8000|
|Charles Howell III||+10000|
Nothing much to report from Pebble Beach. We were never really in it with either Tom Hoge or Jordan Spieth.
Now we’ll move on to chaos at the Waste Management Phoenix Open, where the fans will be back in full force this year.
TPC Scottsdale measures 7,266 yards for a par 71, and really isn’t all that difficult. We can expect the winning score to be around 17-under par unless weather plays a factor.
Another thing to keep in mind is that there tends to be a lot of movement on the leaderboard over the last four holes. There is water in play on No. 15 (a reachable Par 5) and No. 17 (a drive-able Par 4), plus the closing hole is quite difficult so there can be a lot of volatility down the stretch.
TPC Scottsdale tends to favor good iron players. Webb Simpson, Rickie Fowler, Gary Woodland, Hideki Matsuyama and Brooks Koepka all have victories here and each of them are terrific with their approach shot.
It’s a strong field this week led again by Jon Rahm. Books seem to just copy and paste him in at around +700 each week. He hasn’t won here, but he probably will one day. He hasn’t finished worse than 16th in six starts, so the course suits him.
Justin Thomas is next at +1200. He’s got a couple of thirds on the resume here, so again, another guy who fits the course but just hasn’t won here.
Patrick Cantlay, Hideki Matsuyama and Viktor Hovland make up the +1400-1800 range. Cantlay has never player here and Hovland missed the cut in his only start. Matsuyama has one of the better resumes here with two wins, but since then, his best result in the last four years is 15th.
Jordan Spieth, Brooks Koepka, Xander Schauffele and Daniel Berger close out this range and of the group, Berger drew the most attention for me. If I knew the back was good to go, he’d be a bet at +2800-3000. But I can’t play him at the price with the injury questions.
This is always one of the tougher betting events for me because it’s a place where the stars really do come out on top. Only once in the last decade has a winner been longer than +4000. And with the guy I like in that range fresh off a pre-tournament withdraw, it’s pushed me outside of that range.
I’ll start here with Corey Conners at +5000 on PointsBet. Conners was on my card here last year and played fine, finishing 17th. He’s coming off two MCs at events that don’t really fit him, but he played well in Hawaii at the last course that suited him, so we’ll go back to him here.
I’m also going to Russell Henley at +5500 on bet365. Henley should fit better here than he’s shown. It might be the environment isn’t up to his liking, but he keeps coming every year. The form is great with a second at the Sony and 14th at the AmEx. The ballstriking has been in good shape for months now, so whenever he’s putted well he’s put up good results. Again, the history isn’t ideal, but he’s been inside the top 20 twice, so he’s capable of playing well here.
This hasn’t been a place for triple digits, but I’ll try one play here with Russell Knox at 150/1 on DraftKings. Knox isn’t long off the tee, but he keeps the ball in play and out of the desert. He’s usually around field average with the driver, but has gained strokes here in five of his six starts.
He’s been in a good run of form with the irons as well, only losing strokes once in four months, and that was just the one record round for the AmEx where he missed the cut.
The WMPO Card
- Corey Conners +5000 (.66 units)
- Russell Henley +5500 (.6 units)
- Russell Knox +15000 (.22 units)
Total Stake: 1.48 units
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