2022 Wyndham Championship Odds & Expert Picks: Tyrrell Hatton Among 4 Outright Bets

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It was another week where we ran into Tony Finau at the wrong time.

Like Emiliano Grillo a week ago, Taylor Pendrith wound up finishing runner-up to Finau, who has found another level in these lower-end fields.

I wrote up my 2023 major lookahead a couple weeks ago and didn't have Finau's name mentioned. It's early, but it might be time to make a decision on whether he'll be included in those cards.

These two wins in the lower-end fields alone aren't the reason to add him, but if he's someone you were already planning on targeting next year, those wins will start to drop his number from the +5000s into the +3300 range.

He's a guy I don't mind just adding across the board because he's been relatively healthy for his career and has a top-five in every major. He also won a FedEx Cup event last year as well, so he's up to three wins in the past 12 months.

Now we'll move to the final regular season event of the year at the Wyndham Championship. With the final stretch set to begin, most of the top guys will again be away this week.

The Course

The Wyndham Championship takes place at Sedgefield Country Club, a Donald Ross design that is pretty well known at this point — it's been host to the event since 2008.

Sedgefield measures 7,127 yards for a par 70.

Despite the lack of par 5s, the winner routinely reaches 20-under par. It is a simple course, where accuracy off the tee and approach reign supreme. Couple those two things with a hot putter, and you’ll usually find the winner.

Webb Simpson has been the prototype for the skillset we’re looking for at this event. He has a couple of runner-up finishes here, along with a win in 2011. Kevin Kisner, Brandt Snedeker, Henrik Stenson and Si Woo Kim also have wins in recent seasons.

All these players are known more for their iron play — or putting — than they are for their driving ability.

This place has some notable ties with Harbour Town and the RBC Heritage. Simpson, Snedeker and Carl Pettersson have won both. C.T. Pan has won at Harbour Town and been the runner-up here. Kim has won here and lost at Harbour Town in a playoff.

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The Favorites

At the top, we have three players in that +1400-1600 range: Will Zalatoris, Sungjae Im and Shane Lowry. All are usually fairly solid with the irons and could be a good fit if the putter is working. Im's short game is the best, and he has two top-10s in three starts here, so he'd be my lean from this group.

Simpson, Billy Horschel, Russell Henley, Kim and Corey Conners make up the +2000s.

This is the course-history group.

Simpson has finished inside the top 10 in seven of the past eight years, with a couple runner-ups.

Kim has a win here and four top-fives in his last five appearances.

Horschel was the runner-up two years ago and has been 11th or better in four of his last five starts.

Henley has been inside the top 10 in back-to-back years and just missed a playoff a season ago.

If we're looking to form, no one has really been dialed in completely of late, but Kim has finished inside the top 15 in his last two starts, so he's probably playing the best of the bunch.

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The Mid-Tier

I'll start up here with Tyrrell Hatton at +4000 on Bet365. Hatton hasn't had the best year, but he's found a bit of form over in the U.K., finishing 24th at the Scottish Open and 11th at The Open.

He also doesn't have much history here either, so we're seeing him down in this range in a weaker field when we've seen +2000s earlier in the season in similar events.

Going back to the other side of the Atlantic may have just provided him an edge on some more familiar courses, and he could drift back to his mediocre results over here.

But at this price, in this field, I'll pay to find out.

We'll try again here with Taylor Pendrith at +4000. A tough Sunday in contention happens, but the rookie has the talent to win in this field.

His length won't play as big of a factor, but he's also fairly accurate for a bomber and had a good result at The Players earlier in the year, which has always been a tournament previous champs like Kim and Simpson had success at.

It's his debut, so there's no history to go off, but the form is better than anyone in this range.

I'm also going back to Scott Stallings this week at +6000 on DraftKings. This is another guy that doesn't have much history here, but the form is something I'll play.

He's consistently gaining on approach and has been far more accurate off the tee in recent events.

With his starts at the John Deere Classic and Rocket Mortgage Classic, he finished above the field average in driving accuracy in back-to-back tournaments for the first time since February.

We'll also go to Keith Mitchell here at +6600 on BetMGM. Mitchell was in a good run of form prior to heading over to Scotland for two weeks to play in some pretty strong fields.

We'll see if the return to the States — and the weakened field — can help get his results back to where they were. He's been more accurate off the tee than at any point in his career this season, which should help him improve on previous results here.

He's also been having his best season on the greens, as well, and Bermuda has been his preferred surface in the past — although this year, he's been solid across the board.

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The Longshots

This has definitely been a longshot course in the past with Jim Herman and Davis Love III winning at massive numbers.

But I'm just not seeing anyone in this range this week to tack on.

Last year, I had success playing this range live by adding Roger Sloan after the first round. He ended up losing in the playoff, but overall, we've seen people make runs here with some super low numbers.

I have room to add a guy down here, so that'll be where I look at after the opening round.

The Wyndham Card

• Tyrrell Hatton +4000 (.83 units)
• Taylor Pendrith +4000 (.83 units)
• Scott Stallings +6000 (.55 units)
• Keith Mitchell +6600 (.5 units)

Total Stake: 2.71 units

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