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Updated 2023 Farmers Insurance Open Odds, Picks For Will Zalatoris, Tony Finau More

Updated 2023 Farmers Insurance Open Odds, Picks For Will Zalatoris, Tony Finau More article feature image
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Getty Images. Pictured: Tony Finau (left) and Will Zalatoris.

2023 Farmers Insurance Open Odds

Click arrow to expand 2023 Sony Open odds via BetMGM
Player Name Odds
Jon Rahm +450
Tony Finau +1200
Xander Schauffele +1200
Collin Morikawa +1400
Justin Thomas +1600
Will Zalatoris +1600
Max Homa +2200
Sungjae Im +2200
Jason Day +2500
Taylor Montgomery +2500
Hideki Matsuyama +3300
Maverick McNealy +3500
Si Woo Kim +4000
Adam Hadwin +5000
J.J. Spaun +5000
Sahith Theegala +5000
Cam Davis +5500
Justin Rose +5500
Keegan Bradley +6000
Hayden Buckley +6600
Taylor Pendrith +6600
Alex Smalley +8000
Davis Thompson +8000
Gary Woodland +8000
Harris English +8000
Luke List +8000
Robby Shelton +8000
Wyndham Clark +8000
Scott Stallings +9000
Adam Svensson +10000
Kurt Kitayama +10000
Patrick Rodgers +10000
Patton Kizzire +10000
Rickie Fowler +10000
Ryan Palmer +10000
Sebastian Munoz +10000
Thomas Detry +10000
Will Gordon +10000
Ben Griffin +12500
Brendan Steele +12500
Davis Riley +12500
Dean Burmester +12500
Emiliano Grillo +12500
Nick Hardy +12500
Aaron Rai +15000
Beau Hossler +15000
Byeong Hun An +15000
Garrick Higgo +15000
Harry Higgs +15000
Jhonattan Vegas +15000
Matthew NeSmith +15000
S.H. Kim +15000
Stephan Jaeger +15000
Trey Mullinax +15000
Ben Taylor +20000
Callum Tarren +20000
Cameron Champ +20000
Doc Redman +20000
Henrik Norlander +20000
Justin Lower +20000
Justin Suh +20000
Lee Hodges +20000
Matti Schmid +20000
Taylor Moore +20000
Carl Yuan +22500
Danny Lee +22500
Martin Laird +22500
Aaron Baddeley +25000
Austin Smotherman +25000
Cameron Percy +25000
Harrison Endycott +25000
Harry Hall +25000
Keita Nakajima +25000
Kevin Streelman +25000
Kevin Yu +25000
Lanto Griffin +25000
Michael Thompson +25000
Scott Piercy +25000
Adam Long +30000
Austin Cook +30000
Ben Martin +30000
Charley Hoffman +30000
Doug Ghim +30000
Dylan Frittelli +30000
Dylan Wu +30000
Eric Cole +30000
James Hahn +30000
John Huh +30000
Joseph Bramlett +30000
MJ Daffue +30000
Patrick Welch +30000
Ryan Armour +30000
Sam Ryder +30000
Zac Blair +30000
Austin Eckroat +35000
Brice Garnett +35000
Cole Hammer +35000
David Lingmerth +35000
S.Y. Noh +35000
Tyson Alexander +35000
Adam Schenk +40000
Andrew Novak +40000
Erik Barnes +40000
J. B. Holmes +40000
Kevin Tway +40000
Michael Kim +40000
Satoshi Kodaira +40000
Sean O’Hair +40000
Tano Goya +40000
Tyler Duncan +40000
Zecheng Dou +40000
Brian Stuard +50000
Camilo Villegas +50000
Cody Gribble +50000
Jim Herman +50000
Kelly Kraft +50000
Nico Echavarria +50000
Paul Haley II +50000
Peter Malnati +50000
Robert Streb +50000
Rory Sabbatini +50000
Ryan Brehm +50000
Sam Stevens +50000
Vincent Norrman +50000
William McGirt +50000
Michael Gligic +60000
Nick Watney +60000
Taiga Semikawa +60000
Augusto Nunez +75000
Ben Crane +75000
Brent Grant +75000
Hank Lebioda +75000
Jimmy Walker +75000
Kyle Stanley +75000
Kyle Westmoreland +75000
Richy Werenski +75000
Trevor Werbylo +75000
Bill Haas +80000
Jonathan Byrd +80000
Kevin Roy +80000
Anders Albertson +100000
Arjun Atwal +100000
Brandon Matthews +100000
Carson Young +100000
Jason Dufner +100000
Joey Vrzich +100000
Martin Trainer +100000
Michael Block +100000
Michael Herrera +100000
Philip Knowles +100000
Scott Harrington +100000
Trevor Cone +100000

The PGA Tour season really gets underway when it heads to Torrey Pines.

After three strong outings to start 2023 and two Jon Rahm wins, we’re onto examining the Farmers Insurance Open odds board, which sees the Spaniard installed as an overwhelming favorite.

None of our experts are betting Rahm this week, but they are high on him. Check out our tournament preview and Farmers Insurance Open picks below.

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2023 Farmers Insurance Open Picks

Favorite We’re Backing

  • Jason Sobel: Tony Finau
  • Chris Murphy: Will Zalatoris
  • Matt Vincenzi: Xander Schauffele
  • Spencer Aguiar: Tony Finau
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Best Long Shot

  • Sobel: Hayden Buckley
  • Murphy: Kurt Kitayama
  • Vincenzi: Brendan Steele
  • Aguiar: Dean Burmester

Biggest Bust

  • Sobel: Hideki Matsuyama
  • Vincenzi: Taylor Montgomery
  • Aguiar: Kurt Kitayama

Contrarian Player To Target

  • Sobel: Kurt Kitayama
  • Murphy: Taylor Pendrith
  • Vincenzi: Hideki Matsuyama
  • Aguiar: Martin Laird

Trend That Guides Your Betting Strategy

Sobel: Not since maybe the days of Tiger Woods in his prime has there been a greater convergence of course history and recent form than Jon Rahm entering this week’s Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines.

Coming off wins in four of his last seven starts, Rahm owns five finishes of seventh or better in six appearances at this event, including a win in 2017 — and not including his U.S. Open win in 2021.

One related note: Last season, there were three players who won back-to-back PGA Tour starts. Tony Finau finished T-5 in his next appearance, while Xander Schauffele and Scottie Scheffler each finished T-15.

Murphy: Every year, the Torrey Pines South Course rates as one of the more difficult tests on Tour as it plays to the longest distance, leaving players with more than 200 yards in on approach greater than 20% of the time. On the contrary, the North Course, which will host each player for one round to start the week, plays as one of the easiest courses each season.

While it’s tough to peg who exactly will go low on the North Course, we know that scoring low on that track will be a requirement and that Wednesday/Thursday round will give us an early light into who are the real contenders going into the final two days of the Farmers.

I’ll leave some room on my card to bet live this weekend as some value could open up with the players on vastly different courses the first two days.

Vincenzi: Twelve of the past 14 winners of the Farmers Insurance Open had a previous top 10 in the event.

Aguiar: The best way to play this event is from an in-tournament betting perspective on Wednesday night. If you have any random longshots — as I do with Dean Burmester (125/1), Martin Laird (300/1) or Jhonattan Vegas (300/1) — the time to place your bet would be before the opening tee shot takes place.

However, there could be an opening for any golfer that plays the South Wednesday to inflate on the odds board before they get their chance at the more straightforward North.

Your Best Bet

Sobel: Tony Finau each-way (+1100)

I’ve been backing Finau at this one for the past half-dozen years. Now that he’s finally learned how to close out tournaments, I’m not going to fade him.

Finau owns seven top-25s here in eight starts, with four results of sixth or better. That’s the good news. The bad news is that as the second-favorite on the board, his number is much shorter than I would’ve liked. The worse news is that the guy listed above him is on an absolute tear, potentially rendering all other outright plays dead money.

As such, I’ll play all outrights as each-ways this week — or, if not available, complemented by top-5/10 props.

Murphy: Will Zalatoris (+1600)

I was in wait-and-see mode on Will Zalatoris to start the new year as he returned to tournament play after a tough back injury ended his season during the playoffs. He has shown no ill effects from that injury through two starts in 2023 and now gets a chance for vindication after he fell short in a playoff at this tournament last year.

Zalatoris put together four rounds in the 60s this past week at the American Express, which built off of his weekend charge at the Tournament of Champions earlier in the month. Torrey Pines is a perfect venue for his game and this is a course that has proven year after year that we should expect the cream to rise to the top.

He’s my favorite combination of course fit and odds heading into the Farmers Insurance Open this week.

Vincenzi: Jason Day +2500 (BetMGM)

Betting Jason Day at the Farmers Insurance Open has started to become an annual tradition for me, and last year he almost pulled it off. He eventually finished in third place, only one shot out of the playoff between Zalatoris and List.

A great case could be made in favor of Torrey Pines being the course where Day has played the best golf throughout his impressive career. He won at the course in both 2015 and 2018. In addition to his two wins, he has four top-10 finishes at Torrey Pines. In his past 36 rounds, Day trails only Jon Rahm in Strokes Gained: Total at the course.

The former No. 1 player in the world is finally starting to string together some consistent good health and seems to be in the best physical shape we’ve seen in quite some time. Last week, we saw the 35-year-old play well in his first start of the season. He finished in a tie for 18th place and gained 3.0 strokes on the field from tee to green in his two rounds at the Stadium Course.

I think Day is in for a resurgent season in 2023, and a win at his favorite track early in the season would be a big step on his way to returning to being one of the world’s top players.

Aguiar: Live Bet On Tony Finau

With markets severely limited at the time of constructing this article, I will bypass my typical head-to-head play and pivot to a cop-out answer that I am looking to live bet Tony Finau on Wednesday night.

The one pertinent thing with this unique split is that golfers who start at the more challenging South might have difficulty scoring, which provides an opening for some in-tournament bets on Wednesday night.

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