2023 THE PLAYERS Championship Expert Picks & Odds: Bet Tom Kim, Corey Conners & Tom Hoge at TPC Sawgrass

2023 THE PLAYERS Championship Expert Picks & Odds: Bet Tom Kim, Corey Conners & Tom Hoge at TPC Sawgrass article feature image

Via Michael Reaves/Getty Images. Pictured: Tom Kim of South Korea and caddie Joe Skovron wait on the 11th tee during the third round of the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Arnold Palmer Bay Hill Golf Course on March 04, 2023 in Orlando, Florida.

Click arrow to expand THE PLAYER Championship odds via PointsBet
Player NameOdds
Rory McIlroy+900
Jon Rahm+1000
Scottie Scheffler+1000
Patrick Cantlay+1600
Max Homa+2000
Justin Thomas+2200
Collin Morikawa+2200
Xander Schauffele+2500
Jason Day+2800
Tony Finau+2800
Viktor Hovland+3000
Will Zalatoris+3000
Matt Fitzpatrick+3500
Tyrrell Hatton+3500
Sungjae Im+3500
Tom Kim+4000
Jordan Spieth+4000
Keegan Bradley+4000
Cameron Young+4500
Shane Lowry+5000
Si Woo Kim+5000
Keith Mitchell+6000
Rickie Fowler+6000
Corey Conners+6000
Hideki Matsuyama+6600
Tommy Fleetwood+7000
Sahith Theegala+7500
Chris Kirk+8000
Sam Burns+8000
Alex Noren+9000
Harris English+9000
Justin Rose+9000
Matt Kuchar+9000
Tom Hoge+9000
Adam Scott+9000
Taylor Montgomery+11000
Russell Henley+11000
Kurt Kitayama+11000
Seamus Power+11000
Brian Harman+11000
Billy Horschel+12500
Adam Hadwin+12500
Aaron Wise+15000
Davis Riley+15000
Francesco Molinari+15000
Min Woo Lee+17500
Gary Woodland+17500
J.T. Poston+17500
Webb Simpson+17500
Wyndham Clark+17500
K.H. Lee+17500
Denny McCarthy+20000
Nick Taylor+20000
Thomas Detry+20000
Lucas Herbert+20000
Andrew Putnam+20000
Joel Dahmen+20000
Justin Suh+20000
Brendon Todd+20000
Ryan Fox+20000
Sepp Straka+20000
Jhonattan Vegas+20000
Taylor Moore+25000
Adam Svensson+25000
Ben Griffin+25000
J.J. Spaun+25000
Taylor Pendrith+25000
Maverick McNealy+25000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout+25000
Trey Mullinax+25000
S.H. Kim+30000
Emiliano Grillo+30000
Sam Ryder+30000
Danny Willett+30000
Hayden Buckley+30000
Stephan Jaeger+30000
Alex Smalley+30000
Scott Stallings+30000
Luke List+30000
Mackenzie Hughes+30000
Robby Shelton+30000
Brandon Wu+30000
Beau Hossler+30000
Aaron Rai+30000
Ben Martin+30000
Byeong Hun An+35000
Cam Davis+35000
Kevin Kisner+35000
Tyler Duncan+35000
Lee Hodges+35000
Will Gordon+35000
Joseph Bramlett+35000
Garrick Higgo+35000
Doug Ghim+35000
Patrick Rodgers+35000
Martin Laird+35000
Russell Knox+40000
Nick Hardy+40000
David Lipsky+40000
Davis Thompson+40000
Adam Schenk+40000
Ryan Palmer+40000
Adam Long+40000
Matt Wallace+50000
Eric Cole+50000
Patton Kizzire+50000
Matthew NeSmith+50000
Kramer Hickok+50000
Nate Lashley+50000
Dylan Frittelli+50000
Nico Echavarria+50000
Mark Hubbard+60000
Andrew Novak+60000
Aaron Baddeley+60000
Kevin Streelman+60000
Greyson Sigg+60000
Troy Merritt+60000
Stewart Cink+60000
David Lingmerth+60000
Justin Lower+60000
Michael Thompson+60000
Erik Barnes+60000
Peter Malnati+60000
Lucas Glover+60000
Scott Piercy+60000
Callum Tarren+60000
Chesson Hadley+60000
Dylan Wu+60000
Matthias Schwab+70000
Doc Redman+70000
James Hahn+70000
Harrison Endycott+70000
Kevin Tway+70000
Nick Watney+100000
Austin Smotherman+100000
Chad Ramey+100000
Tyson Alexander+100000
Max McGreevy+100000
Kelly Kraft+100000
Jerry Kelly+100000
Ryan Brehm+100000
Chez Reavie+100000
Robert Streb+100000

After a wild finish to the Arnold Palmer Invitational, we head to one of the toughest tournaments to project year in and year out with THE PLAYERS Championship.

With so much danger lurking on every hole mixed with unpredictable weather, this tournament produces a wide variety of winners.

The Course

TPC Sawgrass (Stadium) measures at 7,250 yards for a par-72. It’s tough to overpower the course because doglegs and water limit where players can drive the ball. We end up seeing a lot of players hitting iron shots from similar places in the fairway.

This course seems to have the ability to expose everyone’s weakness. So it really just comes down to whoever can hide their flaws the best while having the best part of their game firing on all cylinders. There’s not really a specific style of play that suits Sawgrass.

The Favorites

Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm top the board again here this week at +900. McIlroy has a win here in 2019, while Rahm has had a couple high finishes but hasn't strung together four solid days here yet.

Scottie Scheffler is next in line at +1100. The form is in great shape, but Sawgrass hasn't been kind to him in his young career. He's missed the cut and finished 55th in two tries.

Patrick Cantlay and Justin Thomas make up that next range at +1600 and +1800, respectively. Cantlay has had a rough go so far. He hasn't finished inside the top 20 in five tries and has missed three straight cuts here. Thomas has had better luck with the win in 2021.

The +2000s group includes Max Homa, Jason Day, Viktor Hovland, Xander Schauffele and Collin Morikawa. Day is in great form and on my card from a month ago at a bigger number. I imagine he'll be popular this week given his solid history here and recent results.

It's really hard for me to trust anyone in this group though. Nobody has really strung results together here as of yet. Homa might be the best bet of the bunch with the form he's entering with coupled with a 13th a year ago.

The Midtier

I'll open my card here with Tom (Joohyung) Kim at +4000. I'm just following my read on him to play him where Webb Simpson plays well. His first two wins on the PGA TOUR were places where Webb had also won. He's got an elite level of accuracy both off the tee and with the irons that should fit the course well.

I'm also going to Corey Conners here at +6600 on BetRivers. Conners' tee to green game is well documented. He's capable of hanging with the best, and it always comes down to the short game with him. He's played solid so far here in limited appearances, making the cut all three times with a seventh in 2021.

The Longshots

I've added a few guys early in the year like Alex Noren, Tom Hoge and TaylorPendrith in the this range, so I won't dive too much into them. All are still available at triple digits.  The group didn't progress as I'd like throughout the year when I added them. I'd still look at Hoge for this course at least. His game fits what's required with accuracy from tee to green.

How would you rate this article?

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.