Will Patrick Reed Stay Hot at Shinnecock?

Will Patrick Reed Stay Hot at Shinnecock? article feature image

Joe Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports. Captioned: Patrick Reed

For analysis of the top 85 golfers in the field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics.

The Info: Patrick Reed

DFS Pricing: $8,500 DraftKings, $11,300 FanDuel

U.S. Open History (2013-2017): N/A, T-35, T-14, MC, T-13

Odds: +4000 to win, +350 top-10 finish, +175 top-20 finish, -400 to make cut, +275 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +275 to miss cut

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 7:51 a.m. (Thursday); 1:36 p.m. (Friday)

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The Outlook

The newest green jacket winner, Reed has had a stellar 2018 season, finishing in the top 10 in four of his past six tournaments. He’s shown high-end potential in majors, even outside of the Masters, finishing second in 2017 at the PGA Championship, which is the longest major of the year. He’ll need that distance at Shinnecock this year, which is playing nearly 7,500 yards as a par-70. His recent form is much better than his long-term form, so to back him you’ll have to bet on all of that continuing. Considering he’s mostly had success this year thanks to a hot putter and beautiful scrambling, I’ll likely fade him in most formats. There are better values in his range in both betting and DFS.

The Metrics

Here’s how Reed ranks in the U.S. Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-21st
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: 11th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 20th
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: 71st
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 23rd

Want more U.S. Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 85 best golfers in the field.

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