Will Paul Casey’s Surprising U.S. Open Struggles Continue?
Jim Dedmon-USA TODAY Sports
For analysis of the top 85 golfers in the field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics.
The Info: Paul Casey
DFS Pricing: $8,000 DraftKings, $10,500 FanDuel
U.S. Open History (2013-2017): T-45, T-56, T-39, MC, 26
Odds: +5000 to win, +400 top-10 finish, +185 top-20 finish, -400 to make cut, +275 to miss cut
Best Odds Value: +5000 to win
Best Matchup Value: Paul Casey (-140) over Louis Oosthuizen
Tee Times: 7:40 a.m. (Thursday); 1:25 p.m. (Friday)
One of the best players to not have a major, Casey actually owns mediocre high-end history at the U.S. Open. He has just one top 10 in 14 events and hasn’t been inside the top 25 since 2007. That poor history is a little surprising given his excellent ball-striking and all-around play: He’s tied for fourth in Long-Term Adjusted Round Score and sits 10th in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green this season. He has a win this year at the Valspar, and while he’s not the longest player off the tee, his approach shots should keep him in the tournament. I’m not interested in +4000 to-win odds, but he could be an interesting low-owned value play in DFS.
Here’s how Casey ranks in the U.S. Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.
- Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-4th
- Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-15th
- Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 10th
- Long-Term Driving Distance: 48th
- Strokes Gained: Approach: 7th
Want more U.S. Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 85 best golfers in the field.