2018 British Open: Is Carnoustie Where Sergio Garcia Can Turn Things Around?

Jul 12, 2018 11:49 AM EDT

For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds (via Bovada). This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Sergio Garcia’s British Open Odds

DFS Pricing: $9,000 DraftKings, $10,100 FanDuel

British Open History (2013-17): T-21, T-2, T-6, T-5, T-37

Odds: +2800 to win, +275 top-10 finish, +110 top-20 finish, -500 to make cut, +335 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +110 top-20 finish

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 10:10 a.m. ET (Thursday); 5:09 a.m. ET (Friday)

For more British Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.


The Outlook

If you looked at Garcia’s play since he won the Masters last year, it would be hard to get excited about investing in the Spaniard. Even recently, he’s missed four of his past five PGA Tour event cuts, which included the U.S. Open and Masters. All that said, Garcia is one of the best links players in the world, and he has immaculate history at the British Open, including three top-six finishes in his past five appearances. He has more top-fives than missed cuts during his career. That’s hard to ignore, especially since he’ll be unpopular in DFS given his poor play of late.


The Metrics

Here’s how Garcia ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-24th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-60th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: N/A
  • Long-Term Greens in Regulation: T-11th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: N/A
  • Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-96th

Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.

Credit:

Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Sergio Garcia

Follow Bryan Mears on Twitter
@bryan_mears

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