Brewers vs. Dodgers Odds & Betting Predictions - October 16, 2025

Brewers at Dodgers

10:08 pm • truTV

Milwaukee Brewers

0-3

1 - 3

Los Angeles Dodgers

3-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Glasnow			0.00	0-0
A.Ashby			4.26	0-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers 0-3	+1.5	+1.5-150	o8-104	+140
Dodgers 3-0	u7.5	-1.5+125	u8-116	-170

Thursday 10:08 p.m.

October 16, 2025

Dodger StadiumLos Angeles

MIL +145 (Live)

Under 4 (F5)-105

MIL +1+100

Under 8-110

MIL +1.5-125

LAD -176

0.57u

T.Glasnow u6.5 Ks-157

0.79u

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

T.Glasnow u6.5 Ks-157

0.47u

I wanted to lock this in before most books move down to 5.5 (still like it there) since paying the juice to have exposure to 6 is worth it. Glasnow’s strikeout rate has taken a hit this year, dropping to 29%, his lowest mark in eight seasons. He’s been getting behind in counts with a career-low 55% first-pitch strike rate, and hitters are chasing at a career-low 22% rate. He has historically racked up strikeouts by getting hitters to chase unhittable pitches out of the zone, supported by one of the lowest chase-contact rates among starting pitchers (36% this season). So it is critical to face teams that will expand the zone. The Brewers make that difficult, as they chased at the lowest rate in MLB this year. Glasnow tried to adjust late in the season by throwing more sinkers (his lowest whiff-rate pitch) likely just to get ahead in the count or induce weak contact when hitters stopped chasing his curve/slider combo. His curveball is still his best strikeout pitch with a 44% whiff rate, but the Brewers had the 5th-lowest whiff rate against curveballs. I have him facing around 22 hitters tonight. His best strikeout opportunity, Jake Bauers (around 40% K chance first PA), is likely buried in the 8-spot, which makes it unlikely Glasnow sees him a third time. Even facing a couple extra batters would not help much with Frelick and Durbin projected around the 6-7 spots, since both have just a 15-18% strikeout chance in their first plate appearance. I project Under 6.5 closer to -230 and Under 5.5 closer to -125 (so still fine taking +110 at FanDuel if you rather go that route). Edit: forgot to add home plate ump James Hoye has been absolutely brutal to pitchers last couple months and squeezing them at one of the highest rates in the league.

T.Glasnow u3.5 Hits Allowed+130

1.3u

@Zerillo https://myaction.app/92nj6Tm4vXb

T.Glasnow u1.5 Earned Runs+105

1.05u

@Zerillo https://myaction.app/92nj6Tm4vXb

A.Vaughn To Hit 1+ Home Runs Yes+620

0.1u

@cowhitchurch https://myaction.app/92nj6Tm4vXb

S.Ohtani To Record 2+ Total Bases Yes+100

0.2u

@cowhitchurch https://myaction.app/92nj6Tm4vXb

A.Vaughn To Record 2+ Total Bases Yes+172

0.2u

@cowhitchurch https://myaction.app/92nj6Tm4vXb

S.Ohtani To Hit 1+ Home Runs Yes+240

0.2u

@cowhitchurch https://myaction.app/92nj6Tm4vXb

T.Hernandez o0.5 HR+420

0.25u

M.Betts o0.5 RBI+204

2.04u

M.Betts o0.5 RBI+185

0.74u

T.Glasnow u3.5 Hits Allowed+130

0.13u

Bet to +100

T.Glasnow u1.5 Earned Runs+105

0.11u

Bet to -110

T.Glasnow u16 Outs-126

1.26u

Under 7.5+100

Under 7.5-104

0.96u

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Dodgers are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Dodgers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Dodgers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Dodgers	73-89	37-44	36-45	61-82	12-7
Brewers	88-74	40-41	48-33	43-53	44-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Dodgers	74-80-8	40-35-6	34-45-2	64-71-8	10-9
Brewers	77-80-5	38-40-3	39-40-2	50-44-2	27-35-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Dodgers	7-1	52-29	41-40	83-60	10-9
Brewers	3-4	52-29	45-36	59-37	37-28

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 15th	@MIL	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 7	LAD -119
Oct 14th	@MIL	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 7.5	LAD -156
Oct 9th	PHI	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 8	LAD -132
Oct 9th	PHI	L 2-8	-1.5 L	O 7.5	PHI -186
Oct 6th	@PHI	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	LAD -113

Jordan Montgomery
SP
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Easton McGee
SP
McGee is out with arm
Out
Garrett Mitchell
CF
Mitchell is out with oblique
Out

Michael Kopech
RP
Kopech is out with arm
Out
Michael Grove
RP
Grove is out with shoulder
Out
River Ryan
SP
Ryan is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Gavin Stone
SP
Stone is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season
Roki Sasaki
SP
Sasaki is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LA.Ashby, P	16	0.1	1	1
RJ.Misiorowski, P	73	5	9	1
RA.Uribe, P	17	1.1	2	0
LJ.Koenig, P	24	1.1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Chourio, RF	0-4	0	0
1B.Perkins, PH	0-0	0	0
1B.Perkins, CF	0-0	0	0
2B.Turang, 2B	0-4	0	0
3W.Contreras, C	0-3	0	0
4C.Yelich, DH	1-4	0	0
5A.Vaughn, 1B	0-3	0	0
6S.Frelick, CF	0-4	0	0
6S.Frelick, RF	0-4	0	0
7C.Durbin, 3B	2-3	1	0
8J.Bauers, LF	1-3	0	1
9J.Ortiz, SS	0-2	0	0
9I.Collins, PH	0-1	0	0
9A.Monasterio, SS	0-0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Glasnow, P	99	5.2	8	1
LA.Vesia, P	10	0.2	1	0
RB.Treinen, P	9	0.2	1	0
LA.Banda, P	10	1	1	0
RR.Sasaki, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Ohtani, DH	1-4	1	0
2M.Betts, SS	1-4	0	1
3W.Smith, C	1-3	1	0
4F.Freeman, 1B	0-2	1	0
5T.Edman, 2B	1-4	0	1
6T.Hernandez, RF	0-3	0	0
6J.Dean, CF	0-0	0	0
7M.Muncy, 3B	0-3	0	0
8E.Hernandez, LF	0-3	0	0
9A.Pages, CF	1-3	0	0
9A.Pages, RF	1-3	0	0